Bugsy
18.10.2022 19:10
đŻ đ Here are the key components of Evmos:
Cosmos SDK
The Cosmos software developer kit enables developers to build other blockchains on Cosmos.They can use pre-built and custom-built modules and test them before launch. Further, developers can connect horizontally with other Cosmos-based blockchains right out of the gate with the inter-blockchain communication (IBC) protocol.
Any blockchain built with the Cosmos SDK, including those deployed on Evmos, are horizontally scalable with the Cosmos ecosystem.
Application Blockchain Interface (ABCI)
ABCI is the interface between the Cosmos consensus protocol, called Tendermint, and applications on the network. It ensures all transactions are recorded on the blockchain. For Evmos, ABCI enables Ethereumâs consensus to be replaced by Cosmos consensus.
For a blockchain, finality is the assurance or guarantee that cryptocurrency transactions cannot be altered or reversed.
In Ethereum 2.0 the time to finality is six minutes, but could go to a maximum of 12. Designed differently, Cosmos has fast finality. That means the transaction is final when the block processes.
The average block time on Cosmos is eight seconds but can get as low as one second on other Cosmos blockchains. So its finality is much quicker than Ethereumâs.
Further, Cosmos can process up to 10,000 transactions per second, versus 15-20 for Ethereum.
And itâs cheaper too, with an average transaction cost of $0.02. Ethereumâs average transaction cost is around $3 but has gotten over 10 times higher in the past during periods of high traffic.
Overall, Cosmos provides faster transaction confirmations, higher throughput, and lower costs.
InterâBlockchain Communication Protocol (IBC)
An openâsource protocol for relaying messages between independent blockchains to one another. IBC allows these chains to trustlessly communicate with each other and exchange value, making them interoperable. That means all IBC-enabled blockchains on Cosmos are interoperable.
Cosmos SDK
The Cosmos software developer kit enables developers to build other blockchains on Cosmos.They can use pre-built and custom-built modules and test them before launch. Further, developers can connect horizontally with other Cosmos-based blockchains right out of the gate with the inter-blockchain communication (IBC) protocol.
Any blockchain built with the Cosmos SDK, including those deployed on Evmos, are horizontally scalable with the Cosmos ecosystem.
Application Blockchain Interface (ABCI)
ABCI is the interface between the Cosmos consensus protocol, called Tendermint, and applications on the network. It ensures all transactions are recorded on the blockchain. For Evmos, ABCI enables Ethereumâs consensus to be replaced by Cosmos consensus.
For a blockchain, finality is the assurance or guarantee that cryptocurrency transactions cannot be altered or reversed.
In Ethereum 2.0 the time to finality is six minutes, but could go to a maximum of 12. Designed differently, Cosmos has fast finality. That means the transaction is final when the block processes.
The average block time on Cosmos is eight seconds but can get as low as one second on other Cosmos blockchains. So its finality is much quicker than Ethereumâs.
Further, Cosmos can process up to 10,000 transactions per second, versus 15-20 for Ethereum.
And itâs cheaper too, with an average transaction cost of $0.02. Ethereumâs average transaction cost is around $3 but has gotten over 10 times higher in the past during periods of high traffic.
Overall, Cosmos provides faster transaction confirmations, higher throughput, and lower costs.
InterâBlockchain Communication Protocol (IBC)
An openâsource protocol for relaying messages between independent blockchains to one another. IBC allows these chains to trustlessly communicate with each other and exchange value, making them interoperable. That means all IBC-enabled blockchains on Cosmos are interoperable.
That includes Evmos. So any chain deployed on Evmos can horizontally scale to the rest of the Cosmos ecosystem, immediately expanding its user base.
Web 3.0 and EVM compatibility
Evmos utilizes the Go Ethereum (Geth) library, a decentralized command-line interface for running Ethereum applications. It uses the Go programming language, which the Cosmos SDK is written in as well. And itâs the official client for building on Ethereum, so itâs very familiar to Ethereum developers.
Further, Evmos enables a fully compatible JSON-RPC layer. Thatâs jargony, I know. It just means Evmos interacts with existing Ethereum clients and tooling. That includes tools such as MetaMask and Truffle, providing Web 3.0 compatibility.
Overall, Ethereum developers can launch applications on Evmos using the same programming language and tooling they already know and use.
ERC-20 Module
The ERC-20 module enables users to convert their ERC-20 tokens on Ethereum into assets on Cosmos, and vice versa. It also enables developers to write smart contracts that use EVM assets and function on Evmos and applications within the Cosmos ecosystem.
With the ERC-20 module, ETH and ERC-20 assets can be used in the Cosmos ecosystem. Plus, Cosmos assets such as ATOM or EVMOS can be used on EVM-based chains. And new applications based on ERC-20 smart contracts will have access to the Cosmos ecosystem.
Web 3.0 and EVM compatibility
Evmos utilizes the Go Ethereum (Geth) library, a decentralized command-line interface for running Ethereum applications. It uses the Go programming language, which the Cosmos SDK is written in as well. And itâs the official client for building on Ethereum, so itâs very familiar to Ethereum developers.
Further, Evmos enables a fully compatible JSON-RPC layer. Thatâs jargony, I know. It just means Evmos interacts with existing Ethereum clients and tooling. That includes tools such as MetaMask and Truffle, providing Web 3.0 compatibility.
Overall, Ethereum developers can launch applications on Evmos using the same programming language and tooling they already know and use.
ERC-20 Module
The ERC-20 module enables users to convert their ERC-20 tokens on Ethereum into assets on Cosmos, and vice versa. It also enables developers to write smart contracts that use EVM assets and function on Evmos and applications within the Cosmos ecosystem.
With the ERC-20 module, ETH and ERC-20 assets can be used in the Cosmos ecosystem. Plus, Cosmos assets such as ATOM or EVMOS can be used on EVM-based chains. And new applications based on ERC-20 smart contracts will have access to the Cosmos ecosystem.
đ The EVM Hub of Cosmos
Evmosâ goal is to become the hub of EVM appchains on Cosmos.
That hub will see dApps launched in one place that tap into the liquidity of multiple blockchain ecosystems.
As we learned above, thereâs a lot of benefits to building on Evmos. You get compatibility with EVM and Ethereum software and tooling.
Plus, you get the benefits of Cosmos as well:
The flexibility of the Cosmos SDK.
The user base of the Cosmos ecosystem through IBC.
Fast and cheap transactions.
Evmosâ goal is to become the hub of EVM appchains on Cosmos.
That hub will see dApps launched in one place that tap into the liquidity of multiple blockchain ecosystems.
As we learned above, thereâs a lot of benefits to building on Evmos. You get compatibility with EVM and Ethereum software and tooling.
Plus, you get the benefits of Cosmos as well:
The flexibility of the Cosmos SDK.
The user base of the Cosmos ecosystem through IBC.
Fast and cheap transactions.
So weâll likely see more projects move to Cosmos, such as dYdX. And we think theyâll use Evmos for its built-in EVM compatibility and the familiar developer experience.
Further, developers are incentivized to build on Evmos.
You see, Evmos implements an innovative feesplit module that shares fees between validators and smart contract deployers (i.e., developers).
This contrasts with most blockchains, where fees largely go to the block producers. So developers are highly incentivized to build on Evmos.
The center of this is the Evmos dApp store. It enables the on-chain revenue share model and is powered by the EVMOS token.
Developers register their applications, then fees are accumulated as smart contracts are deployed. And the fees generated are split 50/50.
Further, 25% of block emissions go to an incentive pool. Those incentives are used to help developers run their applications or launch their own appchains on Evmos.
And Evmos provides critical infrastructure for new appchains such as wallets, explorers, oracles, analytics, and other tooling.
With this in place, the Evmos dApp store is well positioned to become the center of an EVM appchain network.
Since launching in late April, thereâs already rapid adoption on Evmos.
To date it has 14 dApps in the Evmos dApp store. And 93 projects are building on the Evmos platform.
Further, developers are incentivized to build on Evmos.
You see, Evmos implements an innovative feesplit module that shares fees between validators and smart contract deployers (i.e., developers).
This contrasts with most blockchains, where fees largely go to the block producers. So developers are highly incentivized to build on Evmos.
The center of this is the Evmos dApp store. It enables the on-chain revenue share model and is powered by the EVMOS token.
Developers register their applications, then fees are accumulated as smart contracts are deployed. And the fees generated are split 50/50.
Further, 25% of block emissions go to an incentive pool. Those incentives are used to help developers run their applications or launch their own appchains on Evmos.
And Evmos provides critical infrastructure for new appchains such as wallets, explorers, oracles, analytics, and other tooling.
With this in place, the Evmos dApp store is well positioned to become the center of an EVM appchain network.
Since launching in late April, thereâs already rapid adoption on Evmos.
To date it has 14 dApps in the Evmos dApp store. And 93 projects are building on the Evmos platform.
Aave, Diffusion (a Uniswap fork), NovaDAO (an Ohm fork), Frax (an algorithmic stablecoin), Metalancer (a Balancer fork), and Gamyfi (an NFT marketplace) will all be launching on Evmos.
And more are being announced every day, such as:
CypherD Wallet, an Evmos-, EVM-, and IBC-compatible wallet.
xyz, a one-click cross-chain bridge application.
Pyxis Safe (part of the Aura Network), a decentralized multisig wallet application for Cosmos.
Lit Protocol, a decentralized access control protocol for digital content.
That momentum will continue with Evmos hackathons. Recall that hackathons are developer events where large groups work around a single product and win prizes. The goal is to create functioning software or applications by the end.
Evmos recently held the Momentum Hackathon, which attracted over 700 developers and had to be extended a month due to its popularity. Winners and additional funding are expected to be announced in the near future.
And thereâs also the Covalent #OneMillionWallets Evmos Hackathon.
Covalent is a decentralized data infrastructure that enables users to seamlessly access blockchain data. Covalent has integrated Evmos into its API. Its hackathon will focus on dApp tooling, DeFi, and NFTs.
On top of that, the Evmos DAO recently approved the Evmos DeFi Liquidity Incentives Program.
Evmos will be using part of its community treasury to bootstrap liquidity for DeFi projects launching on its platform.
It will start with Diffusion, a Uniswap-like exchange with added features. And more protocols and applications will follow.
Overall, Evmos is bringing the world of Ethereum, and the power of the EVM, into the Cosmos ecosystem. And itâs set to become the EVM hub on Cosmos.
And more are being announced every day, such as:
CypherD Wallet, an Evmos-, EVM-, and IBC-compatible wallet.
xyz, a one-click cross-chain bridge application.
Pyxis Safe (part of the Aura Network), a decentralized multisig wallet application for Cosmos.
Lit Protocol, a decentralized access control protocol for digital content.
That momentum will continue with Evmos hackathons. Recall that hackathons are developer events where large groups work around a single product and win prizes. The goal is to create functioning software or applications by the end.
Evmos recently held the Momentum Hackathon, which attracted over 700 developers and had to be extended a month due to its popularity. Winners and additional funding are expected to be announced in the near future.
And thereâs also the Covalent #OneMillionWallets Evmos Hackathon.
Covalent is a decentralized data infrastructure that enables users to seamlessly access blockchain data. Covalent has integrated Evmos into its API. Its hackathon will focus on dApp tooling, DeFi, and NFTs.
On top of that, the Evmos DAO recently approved the Evmos DeFi Liquidity Incentives Program.
Evmos will be using part of its community treasury to bootstrap liquidity for DeFi projects launching on its platform.
It will start with Diffusion, a Uniswap-like exchange with added features. And more protocols and applications will follow.
Overall, Evmos is bringing the world of Ethereum, and the power of the EVM, into the Cosmos ecosystem. And itâs set to become the EVM hub on Cosmos.
đ đ The Opportunity
Evmos secures its blockchain through a set of validators that are responsible for committing new blocks in the blockchain.
EVMOS is Evmosâ native token. And at its onset, Evmos will launch with 150 validators.
Validators can bond their own staking tokens as well as have the tokens "delegated," or staked, to them by token holders. Thatâs our income opportunity.
Validators and their delegators will earn EVMOS as block rewards and transaction fees in proportion to their stake.
Please be aware that the block reward inflation rate of EVMOS is currently high as it bootstraps its network. That rate will steadily decrease over time. Weâll be compensating with a staking rate thatâs currently over 100% (but will also steadily decrease over time).
If validators double sign, are frequently offline, or donât participate in governance, their staked EVMOS (including EVMOS of users that delegated to them) can be slashed. The penalty depends on the severity of the violation.
Evmos secures its blockchain through a set of validators that are responsible for committing new blocks in the blockchain.
EVMOS is Evmosâ native token. And at its onset, Evmos will launch with 150 validators.
Validators can bond their own staking tokens as well as have the tokens "delegated," or staked, to them by token holders. Thatâs our income opportunity.
Validators and their delegators will earn EVMOS as block rewards and transaction fees in proportion to their stake.
Please be aware that the block reward inflation rate of EVMOS is currently high as it bootstraps its network. That rate will steadily decrease over time. Weâll be compensating with a staking rate thatâs currently over 100% (but will also steadily decrease over time).
If validators double sign, are frequently offline, or donât participate in governance, their staked EVMOS (including EVMOS of users that delegated to them) can be slashed. The penalty depends on the severity of the violation.
đŻ Crypto Income FIRE System
đ đ What Itâs Worth
The virtual machine is a useful technology in Web 2.0.
Itâs how Android emulators helped Android grow into the most widely used smartphone software in the world.
Even developers who donât use Android devices can test and launch apps on an emulator.
In Web 3.0 itâs revolutionary.
Thatâs because of the EVM, or Ethereum Virtual Machine.
Whether youâre a user or developer, the playing field is the same.
And it runs around the world on the Ethereum blockchain, making it unstoppable.
Evmos is bringing that revolutionary technology to the Cosmos ecosystem.
That means any developer on Evmos can enjoy the benefits of Ethereum: the large and familiar user base⌠robust security and composability⌠and the familiar software and tooling.
But they also get the benefits of Cosmos: the customizable building framework⌠fast and cheap transactions⌠high throughput⌠and the horizontal scalability to the entire Cosmos ecosystem.
Weâre already seeing rapid growth on Evmos. And we expect it to continue with its innovative token model, liquidity incentive programs, and the Evmos dApp store.
We think over the next two to three years, as the Evmos dApp store grows into an EVM hub, it can grow to 2% of Ethereumâs market value.That would give it a valuation of $3 billion.
Accounting for token inflation, EVMOS would be worth $3.75, a 100% gain over todayâs price. Plus, we can collect a yield of over 100%. (Remember, though, that rate will steadily decline over time.)
While the price appreciation is nice, the best part is the crypto income yield on your EVMOS stake, which enables us to build our position and effectively lower our cost basis.
With EVMOS weâll more than double our stake over the next year.And as the Evmos dApp store grows, weâre set up for super-charged returns.
The virtual machine is a useful technology in Web 2.0.
Itâs how Android emulators helped Android grow into the most widely used smartphone software in the world.
Even developers who donât use Android devices can test and launch apps on an emulator.
In Web 3.0 itâs revolutionary.
Thatâs because of the EVM, or Ethereum Virtual Machine.
Whether youâre a user or developer, the playing field is the same.
And it runs around the world on the Ethereum blockchain, making it unstoppable.
Evmos is bringing that revolutionary technology to the Cosmos ecosystem.
That means any developer on Evmos can enjoy the benefits of Ethereum: the large and familiar user base⌠robust security and composability⌠and the familiar software and tooling.
But they also get the benefits of Cosmos: the customizable building framework⌠fast and cheap transactions⌠high throughput⌠and the horizontal scalability to the entire Cosmos ecosystem.
Weâre already seeing rapid growth on Evmos. And we expect it to continue with its innovative token model, liquidity incentive programs, and the Evmos dApp store.
We think over the next two to three years, as the Evmos dApp store grows into an EVM hub, it can grow to 2% of Ethereumâs market value.That would give it a valuation of $3 billion.
Accounting for token inflation, EVMOS would be worth $3.75, a 100% gain over todayâs price. Plus, we can collect a yield of over 100%. (Remember, though, that rate will steadily decline over time.)
While the price appreciation is nice, the best part is the crypto income yield on your EVMOS stake, which enables us to build our position and effectively lower our cost basis.
With EVMOS weâll more than double our stake over the next year.And as the Evmos dApp store grows, weâre set up for super-charged returns.
đ 1
Bugsy
18.10.2022 19:24
đľď¸ââď¸ đľď¸ââď¸ đľď¸ââď¸ đ
Why Itâs Important: While macro concerns dominate financial headlines, and crypto marches through winter, institutions continue to prepare for a blockchain future.
Most recently, Bank of New York Mellon (BK) has added cryptocurrencies to its custody service.
Itâs one of the oldest banks in the U.S. It was the first to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange. And is the worldâs largest custodian bank, with $43 trillion in assets under administration.
Clients include endowments and foundations, financial institutions, financial consultants, corporations, public funds, and more.
And itâs a systemically important bank in the U.S. economy.
Now the financial professionals that use BNY Mellon for custody can offer cryptocurrencies to their customers as well.
Before, fund managers typically would have to find a firm specializing in cryptocurrency for custody services. So it just got easier to add crypto to investment portfolios.
According to Caroline Butler, CEO of custody services at BNY Mellon, even in the current environment âwe continue to see significant demand from institutional investors and are excited about future opportunities from blockchain and tokenization technology for assets and cash.â
Why Itâs Important: While macro concerns dominate financial headlines, and crypto marches through winter, institutions continue to prepare for a blockchain future.
Most recently, Bank of New York Mellon (BK) has added cryptocurrencies to its custody service.
Itâs one of the oldest banks in the U.S. It was the first to be listed on the New York Stock Exchange. And is the worldâs largest custodian bank, with $43 trillion in assets under administration.
Clients include endowments and foundations, financial institutions, financial consultants, corporations, public funds, and more.
And itâs a systemically important bank in the U.S. economy.
Now the financial professionals that use BNY Mellon for custody can offer cryptocurrencies to their customers as well.
Before, fund managers typically would have to find a firm specializing in cryptocurrency for custody services. So it just got easier to add crypto to investment portfolios.
According to Caroline Butler, CEO of custody services at BNY Mellon, even in the current environment âwe continue to see significant demand from institutional investors and are excited about future opportunities from blockchain and tokenization technology for assets and cash.â
đ 1
What this means is BNY Mellon is ready if a fund or fund manager wants to access crypto. It has the tools necessary to store crypto securely.
This is great news. BNY Mellon is a bank that a lot of financial institutions, such as public pension funds and corporations, are used to working with. Thereâs already an established comfort level.
So the move could boost institutional adoption for digital assets.
And BNY Mellon isnât the only financial institution expanding its cryptocurrency offerings.
In August Blackrock partnered with Coinbase to allow some clients the ability to trade, finance, and hold crypto assets in custody.
Plus, derivatives market giant CME Group is set to launch three new crypto reference rates.
CME is the worldâs largest financial derivatives exchange. It trades in asset classes that include agricultural products, currencies, metals, stock indexes, and cryptocurrency futures.
And it wants its institutional clients and other users to have access to a much broader range of cryptocurrencies.
Reference rates for the native tokens of the Avalanche (AVAX), Tezos (XTZ), and Filecoin (FIL) blockchains will go live on the CME on October 31.
CME also has reference rates for ALGO, BTC, BCH, ADA, LINK, ATOM, ETH, LTC, DOT, MATIC, SOL, XLM, and UNI.
Not all of the reference rates are tradeable products. But the CME could certainly launch futures products around any of them.
It already has futures for BTC and ETH. And this year it added micro-sized options and Euro-denominated futures for both BTC and ETH.
On top of that, CME hired a new global head for its cryptocurrency businesses with the goal of driving product innovation and supporting long-term growth.
CME is clearly preparing for a crypto future despite the current crypto winter.
This is great news. BNY Mellon is a bank that a lot of financial institutions, such as public pension funds and corporations, are used to working with. Thereâs already an established comfort level.
So the move could boost institutional adoption for digital assets.
And BNY Mellon isnât the only financial institution expanding its cryptocurrency offerings.
In August Blackrock partnered with Coinbase to allow some clients the ability to trade, finance, and hold crypto assets in custody.
Plus, derivatives market giant CME Group is set to launch three new crypto reference rates.
CME is the worldâs largest financial derivatives exchange. It trades in asset classes that include agricultural products, currencies, metals, stock indexes, and cryptocurrency futures.
And it wants its institutional clients and other users to have access to a much broader range of cryptocurrencies.
Reference rates for the native tokens of the Avalanche (AVAX), Tezos (XTZ), and Filecoin (FIL) blockchains will go live on the CME on October 31.
CME also has reference rates for ALGO, BTC, BCH, ADA, LINK, ATOM, ETH, LTC, DOT, MATIC, SOL, XLM, and UNI.
Not all of the reference rates are tradeable products. But the CME could certainly launch futures products around any of them.
It already has futures for BTC and ETH. And this year it added micro-sized options and Euro-denominated futures for both BTC and ETH.
On top of that, CME hired a new global head for its cryptocurrency businesses with the goal of driving product innovation and supporting long-term growth.
CME is clearly preparing for a crypto future despite the current crypto winter.
This is happening elsewhere, too.
A recent Morgan Stanley report noted crypto exchange-traded funds (ETF) and exchange-traded products (ETP) and trusts continue to grow.
There are now over 180 crypto ETFs or ETPs⌠And half have launched in the current bear market.
These products give fund managers an easy way to invest in cryptocurrencies for their clients. They can easily be bought and sold on exchanges. And they can avoid pain points such as setting up wallets and storage.
The growth in these products demonstrates a continued interest in getting cryptocurrencies into portfolios.
Another interesting piece of news for institutional adoption of crypto came from Envestnet.
Itâs a publicly traded financial technology company that does nearly $1 billion in annual revenue, has a $2.5 billion market cap, and boasts thousands of clients in the wealth management space.
Its flagship product is an advisory platform that integrates the services and software used by financial advisers in wealth management.
In other words, it specializes in helping wealth professionals get access to certain assets for their clients.
And it just partnered with Inflection Points, an employment and training company for bitcoin and crypto.
Inflection Points will be the main education partner for Envestnetâs thousands of RIAs (registered investment advisers) and brokerage houses.
Now these thousands of advisers will be better prepared to get their clients into crypto.
Yes, crypto winter marches on. But underneath the surface, institutions continue to prepare for a crypto future.
A recent Morgan Stanley report noted crypto exchange-traded funds (ETF) and exchange-traded products (ETP) and trusts continue to grow.
There are now over 180 crypto ETFs or ETPs⌠And half have launched in the current bear market.
These products give fund managers an easy way to invest in cryptocurrencies for their clients. They can easily be bought and sold on exchanges. And they can avoid pain points such as setting up wallets and storage.
The growth in these products demonstrates a continued interest in getting cryptocurrencies into portfolios.
Another interesting piece of news for institutional adoption of crypto came from Envestnet.
Itâs a publicly traded financial technology company that does nearly $1 billion in annual revenue, has a $2.5 billion market cap, and boasts thousands of clients in the wealth management space.
Its flagship product is an advisory platform that integrates the services and software used by financial advisers in wealth management.
In other words, it specializes in helping wealth professionals get access to certain assets for their clients.
And it just partnered with Inflection Points, an employment and training company for bitcoin and crypto.
Inflection Points will be the main education partner for Envestnetâs thousands of RIAs (registered investment advisers) and brokerage houses.
Now these thousands of advisers will be better prepared to get their clients into crypto.
Yes, crypto winter marches on. But underneath the surface, institutions continue to prepare for a crypto future.
Bugsy
18.10.2022 19:36
Bugsy
20.10.2022 08:26
Former Celsius exec joins JPMorgan as director of crypto regulatory policy | Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/former-celsius-exec-joins-jpmorgan-director-crypto-regulatory-policy-2022-10-19/
https://www.reuters.com/markets/us/former-celsius-exec-joins-jpmorgan-director-crypto-regulatory-policy-2022-10-19/
Bugsy
20.10.2022 21:05
Bugsy
28.10.2022 20:01
Dnes opouĹĄtĂme naĹĄi pozici v MakerDAO (MKR) se ziskem 36 %.
MakerDAO jsme koupili v bĹeznu 2019. Tehdy jsme vÄĹili, Ĺže se MakerDAO a jeho stablecoin DAI stanou jednĂm z nejvÄtĹĄĂch DeFi protokolĹŻ. A ukĂĄzalo se, Ĺže jsme mÄli pravdu.
Od tĂŠ doby zaznamenala tato novĂĄ technologie v blockchainovĂŠm prostoru velkĂ˝ ĂşspÄch, protoĹže celkovĂĄ hodnota DAI v obÄhu se nafoukla ze zhruba 100 milionĹŻ dolarĹŻ v dobÄ, kdy jsme pozici doporuÄili, na 10 miliard dolarĹŻ na svĂŠm vrcholu v Ăşnoru.
KdyĹž jsme MakerDAO doporuÄovali, lĂbily se nĂĄm vĂ˝hody, kterĂŠ DAI pĹinĂĄĹĄĂ.
DAI je decentralizovanĂĄ. To znamenĂĄ, Ĺže ji nelze zabavit ani zablokovat.
KromÄ toho se kolaterĂĄl, kterĂ˝ je zĂĄlohou stablecoinu, nachĂĄzel v blockchainu. SvĂ˝m uĹživatelĹŻm tak poskytoval vÄtĹĄĂ transparentnost a dĹŻvÄru, protoĹže vÄdÄli, Ĺže se mohou kdykoli ujistit, Ĺže jejich aktiva jsou zcela kryta.
Protokol vĹĄak zmÄnil zpĹŻsob svĂŠho fungovĂĄnĂ.
V uplynulĂŠm roce MakerDAO rozĹĄĂĹil svĂŠ pĹŻsobenĂ i do oblasti tradiÄnĂch financĂ.
ZatĂmco velikost tÄchto pĹŻjÄek a vystavenĂ riziku mimo blockchain zaÄĂnala malĂĄ, v poslednĂch nÄkolika tĂ˝dnech se znaÄnÄ zvÄtĹĄila.
ZaÄĂĄtkem tohoto mÄsĂce schvĂĄlili drĹžitelĂŠ tokenu MKR alokaci 500 milionĹŻ dolarĹŻ ze svĂŠ rozvahy do americkĂ˝ch stĂĄtnĂch dluhopisĹŻ a korporĂĄtnĂch dluhopisĹŻ.
A v pondÄlĂ MakerDAO schvĂĄlila nĂĄvrh, kterĂ˝ by umĂstil 1,6 miliardy dolarĹŻ jejĂch aktiv do Coinbase Prime, aby generoval pĹĂjem.
MakerDAO tyto kroky uÄinila s cĂlem dĂĄle diverzifikovat svou rozvahu a generovat pĹĂjem pro drĹžitele svĂ˝ch tokenĹŻ.
JejĂ kroky vĹĄak s sebou nesou dalĹĄĂ rizika. A sniĹžujĂ vĂ˝hody za drĹženĂ jejĂho stablecoinu DAI.
TĂm, Ĺže zvyĹĄuje svou expozici vĹŻÄi centralizovanĂ˝m subjektĹŻm a vlĂĄdnĂ cenzuĹe, se stablecoin DAI stĂĄvĂĄ podobnĂ˝m jinĂ˝m vĂ˝znamnĂ˝m stablecoinĹŻm, jako jsou USDT a USDC.
MakerDAO opouĹĄtĂ hlavnĂ dĹŻvod, proÄ se nĂĄm lĂbil, kterĂ˝m byla jeho decentralizovanĂĄ povaha. Proto jej z naĹĄeho portfolia odstraĹujeme, abychom uvolnili mĂsto novĂ˝m pĹĂleĹžitostem.
.
MakerDAO jsme koupili v bĹeznu 2019. Tehdy jsme vÄĹili, Ĺže se MakerDAO a jeho stablecoin DAI stanou jednĂm z nejvÄtĹĄĂch DeFi protokolĹŻ. A ukĂĄzalo se, Ĺže jsme mÄli pravdu.
Od tĂŠ doby zaznamenala tato novĂĄ technologie v blockchainovĂŠm prostoru velkĂ˝ ĂşspÄch, protoĹže celkovĂĄ hodnota DAI v obÄhu se nafoukla ze zhruba 100 milionĹŻ dolarĹŻ v dobÄ, kdy jsme pozici doporuÄili, na 10 miliard dolarĹŻ na svĂŠm vrcholu v Ăşnoru.
KdyĹž jsme MakerDAO doporuÄovali, lĂbily se nĂĄm vĂ˝hody, kterĂŠ DAI pĹinĂĄĹĄĂ.
DAI je decentralizovanĂĄ. To znamenĂĄ, Ĺže ji nelze zabavit ani zablokovat.
KromÄ toho se kolaterĂĄl, kterĂ˝ je zĂĄlohou stablecoinu, nachĂĄzel v blockchainu. SvĂ˝m uĹživatelĹŻm tak poskytoval vÄtĹĄĂ transparentnost a dĹŻvÄru, protoĹže vÄdÄli, Ĺže se mohou kdykoli ujistit, Ĺže jejich aktiva jsou zcela kryta.
Protokol vĹĄak zmÄnil zpĹŻsob svĂŠho fungovĂĄnĂ.
V uplynulĂŠm roce MakerDAO rozĹĄĂĹil svĂŠ pĹŻsobenĂ i do oblasti tradiÄnĂch financĂ.
ZatĂmco velikost tÄchto pĹŻjÄek a vystavenĂ riziku mimo blockchain zaÄĂnala malĂĄ, v poslednĂch nÄkolika tĂ˝dnech se znaÄnÄ zvÄtĹĄila.
ZaÄĂĄtkem tohoto mÄsĂce schvĂĄlili drĹžitelĂŠ tokenu MKR alokaci 500 milionĹŻ dolarĹŻ ze svĂŠ rozvahy do americkĂ˝ch stĂĄtnĂch dluhopisĹŻ a korporĂĄtnĂch dluhopisĹŻ.
A v pondÄlĂ MakerDAO schvĂĄlila nĂĄvrh, kterĂ˝ by umĂstil 1,6 miliardy dolarĹŻ jejĂch aktiv do Coinbase Prime, aby generoval pĹĂjem.
MakerDAO tyto kroky uÄinila s cĂlem dĂĄle diverzifikovat svou rozvahu a generovat pĹĂjem pro drĹžitele svĂ˝ch tokenĹŻ.
JejĂ kroky vĹĄak s sebou nesou dalĹĄĂ rizika. A sniĹžujĂ vĂ˝hody za drĹženĂ jejĂho stablecoinu DAI.
TĂm, Ĺže zvyĹĄuje svou expozici vĹŻÄi centralizovanĂ˝m subjektĹŻm a vlĂĄdnĂ cenzuĹe, se stablecoin DAI stĂĄvĂĄ podobnĂ˝m jinĂ˝m vĂ˝znamnĂ˝m stablecoinĹŻm, jako jsou USDT a USDC.
MakerDAO opouĹĄtĂ hlavnĂ dĹŻvod, proÄ se nĂĄm lĂbil, kterĂ˝m byla jeho decentralizovanĂĄ povaha. Proto jej z naĹĄeho portfolia odstraĹujeme, abychom uvolnili mĂsto novĂ˝m pĹĂleĹžitostem.
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đ 2
Bugsy
29.10.2022 17:19
xPelix
01.11.2022 19:19
Bugsy
01.11.2022 20:38
1.11.2022 Today, weâre removing BlockFi as one of our recommended platforms to borrow and lend against your crypto assets.
We first recommended BlockFi in 2020 as a way to earn income on your Ethereum (ETH). Since then, it has added yields on tokens like Uniswap, Chainlink, and stablecoins.
However, we believe the risk associated with using the platform has increased since we recommended it.
As weâve learned over the past year, the accounting details on centralized lending platforms like BlockFi arenât as transparent as those on decentralized finance (DeFi) lending platforms, which use blockchain technology.
Unlike DeFi lending platforms, we canât peer into BlockFiâs private loan books and see everyone it has exposure to or the quality of its collateral.
So, in wake of the recent troubles weâre seeing from a few bitcoin mining companies, we re-examined BlockFiâs risk profile and decided to remove it from our list of recommended lending platforms.
Last week, one of the largest bitcoin mining companies, Core Scientific, warned it might seek relief through bankruptcy protection. And it wonât be making payments that are coming due from its lenders.
We first recommended BlockFi in 2020 as a way to earn income on your Ethereum (ETH). Since then, it has added yields on tokens like Uniswap, Chainlink, and stablecoins.
However, we believe the risk associated with using the platform has increased since we recommended it.
As weâve learned over the past year, the accounting details on centralized lending platforms like BlockFi arenât as transparent as those on decentralized finance (DeFi) lending platforms, which use blockchain technology.
Unlike DeFi lending platforms, we canât peer into BlockFiâs private loan books and see everyone it has exposure to or the quality of its collateral.
So, in wake of the recent troubles weâre seeing from a few bitcoin mining companies, we re-examined BlockFiâs risk profile and decided to remove it from our list of recommended lending platforms.
Last week, one of the largest bitcoin mining companies, Core Scientific, warned it might seek relief through bankruptcy protection. And it wonât be making payments that are coming due from its lenders.
BlockFi is among the companyâs largest creditors and could potentially face roughly $61 million in losses.
While a loss this size likely isnât enough to cause severe damage to BlockFiâs operations, thereâs simply no way to know what other toxic assets the company is exposed to.
But we do know that BlockFi is a major lender in the bitcoin mining industryâŚ
Over the summer, a report detailed that bitcoin miners had roughly $4 billion in debt. And among the creditors to publicly listed bitcoin miners, BlockFi was the second-largest, according to The Block.
On top of this, Bloomberg reports bitcoin miners used their mining rigs as collateral to back a growing number of these $4 billion in loans. And as the price of bitcoin crashed, so did the mining equipment used as collateral.
On Monday, BlockFi notified its users that its crypto mining loans were only a small portion of its larger lending portfolio. But the company didnât disclose how much exposure qualifies as âsmall.â
We see this as a red flag.
Over the summer, BlockFi experienced financial troubles. It entered a deal with FTX in exchange for a revolving credit facility that it could draw from if needed.
Weâre unsure whether the revolving credit line will be enough to cover any potential problems BlockFi might face if more bitcoin miners go under.
Due to these recent events, weâre less confident in BlockFi as a safe place to park even a small portion of your assets to generate income.
And while the yields are market-beating, the uncertainty the company faces doesnât warrant the risk.
Action to take: If you have funds in a BlockFi account, we recommend you withdraw them immediately. And if you used the platform to borrow against your crypto assets, we also recommend closing out these loans and withdrawing your collateral.
While a loss this size likely isnât enough to cause severe damage to BlockFiâs operations, thereâs simply no way to know what other toxic assets the company is exposed to.
But we do know that BlockFi is a major lender in the bitcoin mining industryâŚ
Over the summer, a report detailed that bitcoin miners had roughly $4 billion in debt. And among the creditors to publicly listed bitcoin miners, BlockFi was the second-largest, according to The Block.
On top of this, Bloomberg reports bitcoin miners used their mining rigs as collateral to back a growing number of these $4 billion in loans. And as the price of bitcoin crashed, so did the mining equipment used as collateral.
On Monday, BlockFi notified its users that its crypto mining loans were only a small portion of its larger lending portfolio. But the company didnât disclose how much exposure qualifies as âsmall.â
We see this as a red flag.
Over the summer, BlockFi experienced financial troubles. It entered a deal with FTX in exchange for a revolving credit facility that it could draw from if needed.
Weâre unsure whether the revolving credit line will be enough to cover any potential problems BlockFi might face if more bitcoin miners go under.
Due to these recent events, weâre less confident in BlockFi as a safe place to park even a small portion of your assets to generate income.
And while the yields are market-beating, the uncertainty the company faces doesnât warrant the risk.
Action to take: If you have funds in a BlockFi account, we recommend you withdraw them immediately. And if you used the platform to borrow against your crypto assets, we also recommend closing out these loans and withdrawing your collateral.
Bugsy
03.11.2022 21:31
3.11.2022
The Next Phase of the Digital Revolution Is Unfolding
In the future, I believe every asset will be tokenized.
That means stocks, bonds, titles of ownership, music rights â everything of value â will have their ownership rights secured by a blockchain.
And that future is already unfolding.
The Wall Street Journal says weâve entered:
A world where you could buy stocks, bonds, derivatives, cryptocurrencies, or even pieces of art, all on one exchange, 24 hours a day, seven days a week, from anywhere in the world.
And BNY Mellon, which manages $2.4 trillion in assets, says this shift:
Open[s] the market to a whole new set of investors, now able to diversify their investment portfolios into asset classes previously well out of reach.
This shift to tokenization is all due to a revolutionary concept called Web 3.0. If youâre not familiar with this trend, hereâs a brief primer.
In the future, decentralized technology will evolve into the third generation of the internet called Web 3.0.
This version of the internet will combine the power of blockchains (like bitcoin)⌠artificial intelligence⌠and cutting-edge computer technology.
Web 1.0 was the early internet until about 2000. You could use it to read websites⌠search for information⌠and buy items on websites like Amazon and eBay.
Web 2.0 is the version weâre using now. It allows mobile computing⌠social networks like Facebook and Twitter⌠and multiplayer games. It birthed the Big Data industry⌠machine learning⌠and search algorithms like you see on Google or Netflix.
With Web 3.0, you wonât just be able to send data to other people⌠but you can send anything of value, too. All with the click of a mouse. And without the need of a third party.
Anyone using Web 3.0 can make a loan or borrow money⌠transfer real estate⌠or even auction fractions of the value of famous paintings.
This revolution is going to involve every asset in the real world. Thatâs $844 trillion in value.
In the future, I believe every asset will be tokenized.
That means stocks, bonds, titles of ownership, music rights â everything of value â will have their ownership rights secured by a blockchain.
And that future is already unfolding.
The Wall Street Journal says weâve entered:
A world where you could buy stocks, bonds, derivatives, cryptocurrencies, or even pieces of art, all on one exchange, 24 hours a day, seven days a week, from anywhere in the world.
And BNY Mellon, which manages $2.4 trillion in assets, says this shift:
Open[s] the market to a whole new set of investors, now able to diversify their investment portfolios into asset classes previously well out of reach.
This shift to tokenization is all due to a revolutionary concept called Web 3.0. If youâre not familiar with this trend, hereâs a brief primer.
In the future, decentralized technology will evolve into the third generation of the internet called Web 3.0.
This version of the internet will combine the power of blockchains (like bitcoin)⌠artificial intelligence⌠and cutting-edge computer technology.
Web 1.0 was the early internet until about 2000. You could use it to read websites⌠search for information⌠and buy items on websites like Amazon and eBay.
Web 2.0 is the version weâre using now. It allows mobile computing⌠social networks like Facebook and Twitter⌠and multiplayer games. It birthed the Big Data industry⌠machine learning⌠and search algorithms like you see on Google or Netflix.
With Web 3.0, you wonât just be able to send data to other people⌠but you can send anything of value, too. All with the click of a mouse. And without the need of a third party.
Anyone using Web 3.0 can make a loan or borrow money⌠transfer real estate⌠or even auction fractions of the value of famous paintings.
This revolution is going to involve every asset in the real world. Thatâs $844 trillion in value.
And the Infinity Exchange will be the âtollboothâ of Web 3.0.
Almost every transaction that flows on Web 3.0 will go through this exchange. That means it gets a fee every time a token exchanges hands.
So just by owning this tollbooth, you can collect profits. And the more traffic flows, the more your wealth grows.
At the time of writing, its valuation is just $193 billion. But as trillions of dollars in value shift to the Infinity Exchange, we believe itâll eventually have a market cap of $1.9 trillion.
Thatâs a 10x increase from todayâs prices.
Almost every transaction that flows on Web 3.0 will go through this exchange. That means it gets a fee every time a token exchanges hands.
So just by owning this tollbooth, you can collect profits. And the more traffic flows, the more your wealth grows.
At the time of writing, its valuation is just $193 billion. But as trillions of dollars in value shift to the Infinity Exchange, we believe itâll eventually have a market cap of $1.9 trillion.
Thatâs a 10x increase from todayâs prices.
đ The âTollboothâ of Web 3.0
The digital tollbooth sitting at the center of Web 3.0 is Ethereum (ETH). And it will allow the tokenization of up to $844 trillion worth of assets (more on that below).
Even if youâre new to crypto, hearing the name Ethereum is like hearing Walmart or Home Depot. Along with bitcoin, itâs the boring blue-chip of the crypto world.
Itâs no longer the sexy altcoin I recommended at $9 in 2016.
But as Iâll show you below, itâs poised for at least 10x growth from current prices as it evolves into the Infinity Exchange over the coming years.
I donât know of any blue-chip stock that offers that type of upside.
Already, Ethereum is the worldâs most widely used blockchain development platformâŚ
The way Microsoft was the worldâs most popular development platform in the 1990s⌠And the way the Android and iOS operating systems are the most popular development platforms today for mobile apps.
The next boom in application development will take place on Web 3.0 â not the traditional internet â and the network that will dominate that future is Ethereum.
Currently, Ethereum hosts over 37,000 applications â the most of any blockchain. Thatâs a tenfold rise in applications since early 2020.
The digital tollbooth sitting at the center of Web 3.0 is Ethereum (ETH). And it will allow the tokenization of up to $844 trillion worth of assets (more on that below).
Even if youâre new to crypto, hearing the name Ethereum is like hearing Walmart or Home Depot. Along with bitcoin, itâs the boring blue-chip of the crypto world.
Itâs no longer the sexy altcoin I recommended at $9 in 2016.
But as Iâll show you below, itâs poised for at least 10x growth from current prices as it evolves into the Infinity Exchange over the coming years.
I donât know of any blue-chip stock that offers that type of upside.
Already, Ethereum is the worldâs most widely used blockchain development platformâŚ
The way Microsoft was the worldâs most popular development platform in the 1990s⌠And the way the Android and iOS operating systems are the most popular development platforms today for mobile apps.
The next boom in application development will take place on Web 3.0 â not the traditional internet â and the network that will dominate that future is Ethereum.
Currently, Ethereum hosts over 37,000 applications â the most of any blockchain. Thatâs a tenfold rise in applications since early 2020.
And nearly 4,000 active developers are currently working on the Ethereum network⌠Thatâs a 74% jump in two years.
Meanwhile, developers are creating decentralized applications (called dApps) that run on the Ethereum blockchain. These dApps are the crypto equivalent of apps youâll find on Appleâs App Store or Googleâs Play Store, and anyone can create them.
Just like regular apps, dApps include everything from banking to gaming apps. Today, Ethereum is responsible for over 80% of dApps.
This abundance of developers and apps on Ethereum has created a network effect that attracts more projects to Ethereum.
Itâs similar to how Apple created a multibillion-dollar ecosystem with its Apple Store.
And how did Appleâs App Store get to be so successful?
It created an ecosystem that gave developers a one-stop shop for distribution, search, and validation services. It also provided them with a set of tools to build and monetize apps.
Now, imagine if you couldâve owned Apple before it launched the App StoreâŚ
On a split-adjusted basis, Apple shares traded at $0.58 in January 2000 as the tech bubble was peaking. As of this writing, shares trade around $148. So investors who got in before the launch of the App Store saw 255x returns.
Meanwhile, developers are creating decentralized applications (called dApps) that run on the Ethereum blockchain. These dApps are the crypto equivalent of apps youâll find on Appleâs App Store or Googleâs Play Store, and anyone can create them.
Just like regular apps, dApps include everything from banking to gaming apps. Today, Ethereum is responsible for over 80% of dApps.
This abundance of developers and apps on Ethereum has created a network effect that attracts more projects to Ethereum.
Itâs similar to how Apple created a multibillion-dollar ecosystem with its Apple Store.
And how did Appleâs App Store get to be so successful?
It created an ecosystem that gave developers a one-stop shop for distribution, search, and validation services. It also provided them with a set of tools to build and monetize apps.
Now, imagine if you couldâve owned Apple before it launched the App StoreâŚ
On a split-adjusted basis, Apple shares traded at $0.58 in January 2000 as the tech bubble was peaking. As of this writing, shares trade around $148. So investors who got in before the launch of the App Store saw 255x returns.
The profit potential of getting in early wouldâve been enormous. Thatâs because as usage and adoption grow, prices can skyrocket as a result.
Ethereum has become the App Store of the Web 3.0 ecosystem, just as I predicted in 2021.
But Ethereum isnât just an ecosystem for dApps. Itâs also at the heart of another disruptive trend: decentralized finance (DeFi).
Web 3.0 will eventually transition us from what I call the âcentralizedâ middleman economy to the âdecentralizedâ service economy.
Itâs a brand-new way of conducting commerce that will remake entire segments of traditional markets.
Nowhere is this disruption poised to hit with more shattering force than in the financial sector.
You see, finance companies are the ultimate middlemen.
They borrow money cheaply from one set of investors and lend it to another at a fat profit. They buy stock from one group of investors, then immediately sell it to another.
Ethereum has become the App Store of the Web 3.0 ecosystem, just as I predicted in 2021.
But Ethereum isnât just an ecosystem for dApps. Itâs also at the heart of another disruptive trend: decentralized finance (DeFi).
Web 3.0 will eventually transition us from what I call the âcentralizedâ middleman economy to the âdecentralizedâ service economy.
Itâs a brand-new way of conducting commerce that will remake entire segments of traditional markets.
Nowhere is this disruption poised to hit with more shattering force than in the financial sector.
You see, finance companies are the ultimate middlemen.
They borrow money cheaply from one set of investors and lend it to another at a fat profit. They buy stock from one group of investors, then immediately sell it to another.
All the while, they catch a middleman spread (the difference between the buy and sell prices).
Itâs estimated the finance sector extracts over $9.28 trillion annually from the global economy. Thatâs more money than the utilities sector, communication services sector, and real estate sectors combined.
DeFi will do for finance what the internet has done for so many other businesses: replace a high-cost middleman with a low-cost one.
It uses cutting-edge blockchain technology to prevent manipulation without relying on trusted third parties.
Take the real estate sector, for exampleâŚ
A typical real estate transaction involves agents, brokers, lawyers, and insurers. But Ethereum replaces each of those middlemen with smart contracts.
A smart contract will automatically execute the deal if it meets all conditions for the sale â at a fraction of the costs of a traditional real estate transaction.
And if the smart contract executes on Ethereum, the parties will pay a fee in its native token, ether.
Itâs estimated the finance sector extracts over $9.28 trillion annually from the global economy. Thatâs more money than the utilities sector, communication services sector, and real estate sectors combined.
DeFi will do for finance what the internet has done for so many other businesses: replace a high-cost middleman with a low-cost one.
It uses cutting-edge blockchain technology to prevent manipulation without relying on trusted third parties.
Take the real estate sector, for exampleâŚ
A typical real estate transaction involves agents, brokers, lawyers, and insurers. But Ethereum replaces each of those middlemen with smart contracts.
A smart contract will automatically execute the deal if it meets all conditions for the sale â at a fraction of the costs of a traditional real estate transaction.
And if the smart contract executes on Ethereum, the parties will pay a fee in its native token, ether.
Eventually, Ethereum will make banking, borrowing, lending, and investing cheaper and more accessible for billions of people.
The good news is we still have a chance to get in on this trend earlyâŚ
According to Grand View Research, DeFi will have an annualized growth rate of 42.5% over the rest of the decade, topping $230 billion in transactions from $12 billion in 2021.
Eventually, I believe Ethereum will do to the traditional financial services sector what Netflix did to Blockbuster and what Amazon did to Sears⌠It will wipe them off the map.
Hear me when I tell you this: Ethereum is the most important piece of software created for the deployment of other software programs.
Thatâs how powerful Ethereum is⌠And right now, the whole world is sleeping on just how valuable Ethereum will become.
The good news is we still have a chance to get in on this trend earlyâŚ
According to Grand View Research, DeFi will have an annualized growth rate of 42.5% over the rest of the decade, topping $230 billion in transactions from $12 billion in 2021.
Eventually, I believe Ethereum will do to the traditional financial services sector what Netflix did to Blockbuster and what Amazon did to Sears⌠It will wipe them off the map.
Hear me when I tell you this: Ethereum is the most important piece of software created for the deployment of other software programs.
Thatâs how powerful Ethereum is⌠And right now, the whole world is sleeping on just how valuable Ethereum will become.
đ The Gateway to $844 Trillion in Tokenized Assets
Based on my research, itâs clear to me Ethereum will eventually be the worldâs most important software.
That will make it the tollbooth of Web 3.0. It will allow you to tokenize any asset (like real estate) and exchange it on the blockchain.
Thatâs why I call it the Infinity Exchange.
Weâve seen the first real use case for tokenization in the collectibles space.
For example, you can take a collectible asset like a painting and divide it into fractions. And a crypto token would represent each fraction of the asset â just like a share of stock represents an equity stake in a company.
Letâs say a seller owned a painting valued at $100,000. The owner could divide the painting into 10,000 fractions. That means each token would be worth $10.
If the painting later sells for $1 million at auction, each token would be worth $100.
Based on my research, itâs clear to me Ethereum will eventually be the worldâs most important software.
That will make it the tollbooth of Web 3.0. It will allow you to tokenize any asset (like real estate) and exchange it on the blockchain.
Thatâs why I call it the Infinity Exchange.
Weâve seen the first real use case for tokenization in the collectibles space.
For example, you can take a collectible asset like a painting and divide it into fractions. And a crypto token would represent each fraction of the asset â just like a share of stock represents an equity stake in a company.
Letâs say a seller owned a painting valued at $100,000. The owner could divide the painting into 10,000 fractions. That means each token would be worth $10.
If the painting later sells for $1 million at auction, each token would be worth $100.
By tokenizing the painting, the seller can create a record for ownership⌠And multiple people could buy a stake in the painting.
That means vastly more people can get exposure to the collectibles space.
Up until tokenization began, only the ultra-rich could get into the space. Now, anyone could then buy, sell, or exchange their tokenized paintings on Ethereum â just like you can buy, sell, and exchange shares on a brokerage platform.
The key to tokenizing these assets will be non-fungible token (NFT) technology.
I get it if you think NFTs are a fad.
In 2021, we saw a buying frenzy as collectors paid millions of dollars for NFTs. One piece of digital artwork even sold at an auction for $69 million.
Then NFTs crashed along with the overall crypto market, and now many investors believe theyâre worthless.
But pictures of punks and apes are just one application of NFT technology.
Using NFT technology to secure ownership rights to digital art and collectibles like Bored Apes and CryptoPunks was only the first use case to gain widespread traction â similar to how the first widespread use case for the internet was email.
Of course, today, we use the internet for much more than sending emails. The same will hold true for NFT technology in the future.
Thatâs because you can potentially tokenize any asset class on Ethereum â using NFT technology â and transact them with smart contracts.
As you can see in the chart below, we estimate the combined value of all global assets to be about $844 trillion.
That means vastly more people can get exposure to the collectibles space.
Up until tokenization began, only the ultra-rich could get into the space. Now, anyone could then buy, sell, or exchange their tokenized paintings on Ethereum â just like you can buy, sell, and exchange shares on a brokerage platform.
The key to tokenizing these assets will be non-fungible token (NFT) technology.
I get it if you think NFTs are a fad.
In 2021, we saw a buying frenzy as collectors paid millions of dollars for NFTs. One piece of digital artwork even sold at an auction for $69 million.
Then NFTs crashed along with the overall crypto market, and now many investors believe theyâre worthless.
But pictures of punks and apes are just one application of NFT technology.
Using NFT technology to secure ownership rights to digital art and collectibles like Bored Apes and CryptoPunks was only the first use case to gain widespread traction â similar to how the first widespread use case for the internet was email.
Of course, today, we use the internet for much more than sending emails. The same will hold true for NFT technology in the future.
Thatâs because you can potentially tokenize any asset class on Ethereum â using NFT technology â and transact them with smart contracts.
As you can see in the chart below, we estimate the combined value of all global assets to be about $844 trillion.
And you can tokenize nearly every one of those assets as an NFT and track them on the Ethereum blockchain.
Already, weâve seen some institutions move to tokenizing financial assets:
Switzerland is adding tokenization to its banking infrastructure.
The Australian Securities Exchange expects to adopt digital tokens in 2023.
Japan is racing to tokenize its two main stock exchanges.
In time, I expect the Infinity Exchange to swallow up these assets whole. And weâll see the price of ether skyrocket along with it
Already, weâve seen some institutions move to tokenizing financial assets:
Switzerland is adding tokenization to its banking infrastructure.
The Australian Securities Exchange expects to adopt digital tokens in 2023.
Japan is racing to tokenize its two main stock exchanges.
In time, I expect the Infinity Exchange to swallow up these assets whole. And weâll see the price of ether skyrocket along with it
đ
Bugsy
03.11.2022 21:45
What Itâs Worth
Even if youâre not familiar with crypto, you know weâre mired in another Crypto Winter. Since hitting its all-time high of $4,892 in November 2021, ether is down 70%.
But as Iâll show you below, this pullback is a gift. It means you can invest in Ethereum at a huge discount before the next Crypto Spring blossoms.
You see, I first recommended ETH in April 2016 at just $9. Today, itâs up about 17,000%.
So if you bought $1,000 worth of ETH back then â and simply held on through the wild ride of the past six years â youâd have nearly $150,000 today.
Thatâs despite two brutal bear markets.
Right now, we can get in at fire sale prices. Hereâs what I meanâŚ
If ETH simply regains its all-time high of $4,892, thatâs a 210% gain from current prices (at the time of writing)⌠But I think it has much more room to run.
Thatâs because the future is even brighter for Ethereum as the Infinity Exchange.
In September, Ethereum successfully completed its long-awaited Merge.
Even if youâre not familiar with crypto, you know weâre mired in another Crypto Winter. Since hitting its all-time high of $4,892 in November 2021, ether is down 70%.
But as Iâll show you below, this pullback is a gift. It means you can invest in Ethereum at a huge discount before the next Crypto Spring blossoms.
You see, I first recommended ETH in April 2016 at just $9. Today, itâs up about 17,000%.
So if you bought $1,000 worth of ETH back then â and simply held on through the wild ride of the past six years â youâd have nearly $150,000 today.
Thatâs despite two brutal bear markets.
Right now, we can get in at fire sale prices. Hereâs what I meanâŚ
If ETH simply regains its all-time high of $4,892, thatâs a 210% gain from current prices (at the time of writing)⌠But I think it has much more room to run.
Thatâs because the future is even brighter for Ethereum as the Infinity Exchange.
In September, Ethereum successfully completed its long-awaited Merge.
The Merge transitioned Ethereum from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake.
Without getting into the weeds, the Merge will decrease the electricity required to power the Ethereum network by an estimated 99%.
Thatâs incredibly bullish, especially for investors who want to buy crypto assets that meet Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) standards.
The Merge will also reduce the issuance of new ETH by 90%.
When you combine that with the EIP-1559 upgrade, which burns the majority of fees on the Ethereum network, we could potentially have a deflationary asset.
As the supply decreases, Ethereumâs price should rise substantially.
In the past, I predicted Ethereum would hit a $1 trillion market cap. I may have been off on my timing, but I still believe it will get there in the coming years.
If it hits $1 trillion â as bitcoin did last year â that would make each ETH worth $8,757⌠Thatâs nearly a 6x gain from todayâs prices.
But what really has me excited is Ethereum becoming the worldâs Infinity Exchange.
Without getting into the weeds, the Merge will decrease the electricity required to power the Ethereum network by an estimated 99%.
Thatâs incredibly bullish, especially for investors who want to buy crypto assets that meet Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) standards.
The Merge will also reduce the issuance of new ETH by 90%.
When you combine that with the EIP-1559 upgrade, which burns the majority of fees on the Ethereum network, we could potentially have a deflationary asset.
As the supply decreases, Ethereumâs price should rise substantially.
In the past, I predicted Ethereum would hit a $1 trillion market cap. I may have been off on my timing, but I still believe it will get there in the coming years.
If it hits $1 trillion â as bitcoin did last year â that would make each ETH worth $8,757⌠Thatâs nearly a 6x gain from todayâs prices.
But what really has me excited is Ethereum becoming the worldâs Infinity Exchange.
As mentioned above, the estimated combined value of all the global assets is $844 trillion.
If Ethereum tokenizes just 1% of those assets, weâd see $8.4 trillion held on the Ethereum network.
As you can imagine, this would bring significantly more activity to the network. To get a sense of that usage, we can look at the impact DeFi had on the Ethereum network.
As some of you know, DeFi activity started to pick up in 2020 and peaked near the end of 2021 alongside the rest of the crypto market.
During this time, we saw the total value of assets held in DeFi protocols climb from roughly $600 million to $180 billion as decentralized exchanges and lending and trading platforms were built on the network.
These new use cases brought more assets to the ecosystem. And with it came a surge of demand to use the network.
From the start of 2020 to the end of 2021, the average price to use the network went from $0.10 per transaction to over $50. And the number of daily transactions jumped from roughly 550,000 to 1.25 million.
That means Ethereum was generating roughly $62.5 million each day in transaction fees toward the end of 2021.
If Ethereum tokenizes just 1% of those assets, weâd see $8.4 trillion held on the Ethereum network.
As you can imagine, this would bring significantly more activity to the network. To get a sense of that usage, we can look at the impact DeFi had on the Ethereum network.
As some of you know, DeFi activity started to pick up in 2020 and peaked near the end of 2021 alongside the rest of the crypto market.
During this time, we saw the total value of assets held in DeFi protocols climb from roughly $600 million to $180 billion as decentralized exchanges and lending and trading platforms were built on the network.
These new use cases brought more assets to the ecosystem. And with it came a surge of demand to use the network.
From the start of 2020 to the end of 2021, the average price to use the network went from $0.10 per transaction to over $50. And the number of daily transactions jumped from roughly 550,000 to 1.25 million.
That means Ethereum was generating roughly $62.5 million each day in transaction fees toward the end of 2021.
Now, with the emergence of scaling solutions, weâve seen transaction fees come down substantially since then.
But if 1% of the worldâs assets become tokenized on the Ethereum blockchain, I believe we could see layer-1 network demand return to â and exceed â prior highs.
If so, Ethereum would generate roughly $22.8 billion each year in network fees.
To get a sense of what this means for the price of Ethereum, we can attach a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple similar to that of a high-growth tech company like Amazon, T-Mobile, or Digi International.
[The P/E ratio represents what an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a companyâs earnings. For example, at a P/E ratio of 20, an investor is saying theyâre willing to pay $20 for $1 of its earnings. Itâs calculated by taking a companyâs share price and dividing it by its earnings per share.]
If we use a 100 P/E multiple, Ethereum would be valued at $2.24 trillion. Or roughly $20,505 per token when taking into account todayâs circulating supply.
Thatâs a 1,200% increase from todayâs price (at the time of writing).
If Ethereum becomes the Infinity Exchange for 10% of global assets, this best-case scenario could prove conservative.
But that will take longer to play out than a 10x return in the next bull run.
But if 1% of the worldâs assets become tokenized on the Ethereum blockchain, I believe we could see layer-1 network demand return to â and exceed â prior highs.
If so, Ethereum would generate roughly $22.8 billion each year in network fees.
To get a sense of what this means for the price of Ethereum, we can attach a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple similar to that of a high-growth tech company like Amazon, T-Mobile, or Digi International.
[The P/E ratio represents what an investor is willing to pay for $1 of a companyâs earnings. For example, at a P/E ratio of 20, an investor is saying theyâre willing to pay $20 for $1 of its earnings. Itâs calculated by taking a companyâs share price and dividing it by its earnings per share.]
If we use a 100 P/E multiple, Ethereum would be valued at $2.24 trillion. Or roughly $20,505 per token when taking into account todayâs circulating supply.
Thatâs a 1,200% increase from todayâs price (at the time of writing).
If Ethereum becomes the Infinity Exchange for 10% of global assets, this best-case scenario could prove conservative.
But that will take longer to play out than a 10x return in the next bull run.
Bugsy
07.11.2022 20:48
7.11.2022
Ethereum (ETH)⌠Thereâs some exciting news here. It's actually gone deflationary for the first time, starting around mid-October.
As you know, after the Merge, the issuance rate of ETH dropped by about 90%. So as long as there's enough activity on the network, a portion of the fees gets burned, and that causes ETH to be deflationary. So the ETH supply since about a month ago has actually dropped by 10,000 ETH.
As ETH gets burned, the remaining ETH becomes more valuable. That's going to be good for us. And as we've seen, Ethereumâs done quite well since the middle of the year.
As you know, after the Merge, the issuance rate of ETH dropped by about 90%. So as long as there's enough activity on the network, a portion of the fees gets burned, and that causes ETH to be deflationary. So the ETH supply since about a month ago has actually dropped by 10,000 ETH.
As ETH gets burned, the remaining ETH becomes more valuable. That's going to be good for us. And as we've seen, Ethereumâs done quite well since the middle of the year.
đ The next one is MATIC. That's the token for Polygon.
Polygonâs a layer-2 ecosystem on top of Ethereum. Itâs one of the key projects named by Meta, formerly known as Facebook, as a partner for NFTs on Instagram. And it was also part of that institutional trade with the government of Singapore. So we have a lot of good news coming out with MATIC.
Polygonâs a layer-2 ecosystem on top of Ethereum. Itâs one of the key projects named by Meta, formerly known as Facebook, as a partner for NFTs on Instagram. And it was also part of that institutional trade with the government of Singapore. So we have a lot of good news coming out with MATIC.
đ Another one is Evmos. This is our most recent pick. As you recall, itâs a Cosmos chain that supports the EVM, or the Ethereum Virtual Machine. And we know that EVM has become a key piece of software for smart contracts in the crypto universe. So it's a very exciting project.
Tharsis Labs, which is the development company behind Evmos, just announced that it raised $27 million. This funding was led by Polychain Capital, and Galaxy Digital, Coinbase Ventures, Circle Ventures, and a few others were also involved.
Tharsis is going to use the funds to hire more engineers, develop partnerships, and build out the ecosystem. So that's some great news.
Tharsis Labs, which is the development company behind Evmos, just announced that it raised $27 million. This funding was led by Polychain Capital, and Galaxy Digital, Coinbase Ventures, Circle Ventures, and a few others were also involved.
Tharsis is going to use the funds to hire more engineers, develop partnerships, and build out the ecosystem. So that's some great news.
đ The next one is Crypto.com and its Cronos blockchain (CRO). It announced it just surpassed 70 million users, which puts it in the same ballpark as Coinbase and Binance in terms of number of users. It also announced it'll exceed $1 billion in revenues for 2022.
This is a play where when we get to the next rally, Crypto.com is just so well positioned to leverage this massive user base that itâs grown. In the meantime, people are probably going to keep talking about the commercial with Matt Damon that came out last year around the top of the market. But that's not real news. The real news is Crypto.com is expanding its user base, and itâs well positioned for the next crypto rally.
This is a play where when we get to the next rally, Crypto.com is just so well positioned to leverage this massive user base that itâs grown. In the meantime, people are probably going to keep talking about the commercial with Matt Damon that came out last year around the top of the market. But that's not real news. The real news is Crypto.com is expanding its user base, and itâs well positioned for the next crypto rally.
đ So ATOM⌠That's the token for Cosmos. We've been writing about Cosmos 2.0, and itâs basically making a bunch of upgrades to the network. It introduced interchange security. Essentially, other chains can use the Cosmos validator to secure their blockchains. So that will increase demand for the ATOM token as well as increase the fees that are generated for ATOM stakers, which is us. So that's great news.
Cosmos also introduced liquid staking. So what that enables you to do is use your staked ATOM in other DeFi protocols. That's an important development because people no longer have to make the decision, âDo I stake, or do I participate in DeFi?â This way you can do both, and it improves the capital efficiency of the ecosystem.
And then coming up for Cosmos is what it calls its interchange scheduler and interchange allocator. This is just a fancy way of saying itâs going to be allocating a portion of the fees to a treasury and then use that treasury for on-chain investments into Cosmos ecosystem projects. So that's something on tap for 2023 that will help facilitate the ecosystem.
Thereâs one final piece of news for ATOM, and itâs pretty big. Circle announced its USDC stablecoin will be coming to Cosmos in early 2023. And what itâs going to do is spin up its own application-specific blockchain just for USDC. Itâs going to use interchange security. It'll use the Cosmos hub to secure its network, and we'll have USDC on the Cosmos ecosystem.
And that's big because Cosmos doesnât really have a stablecoin right now. So to have a stablecoin in its ecosystem will help facilitate growth along with the other changes itâs making.
Cosmos also introduced liquid staking. So what that enables you to do is use your staked ATOM in other DeFi protocols. That's an important development because people no longer have to make the decision, âDo I stake, or do I participate in DeFi?â This way you can do both, and it improves the capital efficiency of the ecosystem.
And then coming up for Cosmos is what it calls its interchange scheduler and interchange allocator. This is just a fancy way of saying itâs going to be allocating a portion of the fees to a treasury and then use that treasury for on-chain investments into Cosmos ecosystem projects. So that's something on tap for 2023 that will help facilitate the ecosystem.
Thereâs one final piece of news for ATOM, and itâs pretty big. Circle announced its USDC stablecoin will be coming to Cosmos in early 2023. And what itâs going to do is spin up its own application-specific blockchain just for USDC. Itâs going to use interchange security. It'll use the Cosmos hub to secure its network, and we'll have USDC on the Cosmos ecosystem.
And that's big because Cosmos doesnât really have a stablecoin right now. So to have a stablecoin in its ecosystem will help facilitate growth along with the other changes itâs making.
đ Then thereâs one final crypto for today: Livepeer.
Livepeer is the open video infrastructure launched on Ethereum, and itâs now on layer-2 Arbitrum. Basically, developers can use Livepeerâs network to build decentralized video streaming applications. This is a good example of a project that continues to just chug along during the crypto winter, and it continues to see increased usage.
Livepeer measures its usage in minutes, and the minutes measure how much video has been transcoded. It actually set a record in the third quarter of 37 million minutes, and that was up about 12% from the quarter before. So that's pretty impressive to see the project continue to get increased usage even though we're in the middle of a crypto winter.
Livepeer is the open video infrastructure launched on Ethereum, and itâs now on layer-2 Arbitrum. Basically, developers can use Livepeerâs network to build decentralized video streaming applications. This is a good example of a project that continues to just chug along during the crypto winter, and it continues to see increased usage.
Livepeer measures its usage in minutes, and the minutes measure how much video has been transcoded. It actually set a record in the third quarter of 37 million minutes, and that was up about 12% from the quarter before. So that's pretty impressive to see the project continue to get increased usage even though we're in the middle of a crypto winter.
Bugsy
08.11.2022 17:19
The Company With a Solution to the Opioid Crisis
The settlement news from CVS, Walmart, and Walgreens reinforces our belief Big Pharma and pharmaceutical retailers not only need a solution⌠but realize the solution could be worth billions.
The first to market with a practical alternative will be a game-changer. And Isosceles just took a giant leap forward to potentially get to market with its delivery system much faster than we initially anticipated.
Recall, Isosceles already has two product candidates in development. Both use novel delivering systems to deliver synthetic cannabidiol (CBD).
Multiple studies have also shown that synthetic CBD is an effective, non-addictive alternative to opioids, specifically when it comes to pain relief.
While CBD is non-addictive, it comes with some side effects like liver damage. Plus, because many users take CBD orally, itâs highly inefficient. (We covered these drawbacks in our original writeup.)
To solve the inefficiency and side effects problems, Isosceles has developed two novel delivery mechanisms.
The settlement news from CVS, Walmart, and Walgreens reinforces our belief Big Pharma and pharmaceutical retailers not only need a solution⌠but realize the solution could be worth billions.
The first to market with a practical alternative will be a game-changer. And Isosceles just took a giant leap forward to potentially get to market with its delivery system much faster than we initially anticipated.
Recall, Isosceles already has two product candidates in development. Both use novel delivering systems to deliver synthetic cannabidiol (CBD).
Multiple studies have also shown that synthetic CBD is an effective, non-addictive alternative to opioids, specifically when it comes to pain relief.
While CBD is non-addictive, it comes with some side effects like liver damage. Plus, because many users take CBD orally, itâs highly inefficient. (We covered these drawbacks in our original writeup.)
To solve the inefficiency and side effects problems, Isosceles has developed two novel delivery mechanisms.
IPI-201. This delivery system uses an intravenous (IV) formulation. It will target postoperative pain.
IPI-301. This delivery system uses a microneedle intradermal delivery system. It will manage chronic pain.
Isosceles holds patents for the delivery system of both products. But letâs focus on IPI-201, the IV delivery system. It seeks to replace opioid and other addictive painkillers.
Two key Isosceles team members developed an IV delivery system for acetaminophen (the active ingredient in Tylenol). So the company will benefit from the existing research on that product.
The IV route is potentially groundbreaking. Patients who use IPI-201 will receive greater pain relief from a lower dosage⌠while decreasing the risk of side effects.
Isosceles has already moved to protect IPI-201 with a U.S. and international patent.
In the October issue, we laid out the entire case on why weâre bullish on Isosceles and IPI-201. But since then, it has announced a major partnership thatâs made us even more optimisticâŚ
On October 31, the company signed a non-binding letter of intent with a strategic partner for Phase I development of IPI-201.
IPI-301. This delivery system uses a microneedle intradermal delivery system. It will manage chronic pain.
Isosceles holds patents for the delivery system of both products. But letâs focus on IPI-201, the IV delivery system. It seeks to replace opioid and other addictive painkillers.
Two key Isosceles team members developed an IV delivery system for acetaminophen (the active ingredient in Tylenol). So the company will benefit from the existing research on that product.
The IV route is potentially groundbreaking. Patients who use IPI-201 will receive greater pain relief from a lower dosage⌠while decreasing the risk of side effects.
Isosceles has already moved to protect IPI-201 with a U.S. and international patent.
In the October issue, we laid out the entire case on why weâre bullish on Isosceles and IPI-201. But since then, it has announced a major partnership thatâs made us even more optimisticâŚ
On October 31, the company signed a non-binding letter of intent with a strategic partner for Phase I development of IPI-201.
This partnership is significant for a number of reasons. While we donât know who the partner is, we know itâll provide Isosceles with a proven contract research organization (CRO) partner.
This CRO gives Isosceles the potential to begin human trials in 2023. This is a big step forward in its push to validate IPI-201 as a treatment for pain.
One of the biggest benefits of investing in private biotechs, medical device, and delivery companies is they march to the beat of their own drum. Market sentiment can impact these types of companies⌠But data and results matter more than anything.
Good data for a biotech company will trump even the most bearish of markets almost every time. We have a unique opportunity with Isosceles because the weakness in the broad economy has priced many private offerings much more competitively than what weâd see in a bullish environment.
As we wrote last month, Isoscelesâs goal is to raise up to $5 million through its Reg. CF offering. Itâs selling shares for $2.05 apiece. The minimum buy-in for this deal is $500. That means the minimum purchase is 244 shares.
This CRO gives Isosceles the potential to begin human trials in 2023. This is a big step forward in its push to validate IPI-201 as a treatment for pain.
One of the biggest benefits of investing in private biotechs, medical device, and delivery companies is they march to the beat of their own drum. Market sentiment can impact these types of companies⌠But data and results matter more than anything.
Good data for a biotech company will trump even the most bearish of markets almost every time. We have a unique opportunity with Isosceles because the weakness in the broad economy has priced many private offerings much more competitively than what weâd see in a bullish environment.
As we wrote last month, Isoscelesâs goal is to raise up to $5 million through its Reg. CF offering. Itâs selling shares for $2.05 apiece. The minimum buy-in for this deal is $500. That means the minimum purchase is 244 shares.
Right now, Isosceles is valued at $30 million. As we wrote in our original writeup, we believe itâs eventually on track for a $500 million valuation. That would imply a 16.7x return â enough to turn every $500 into $8,350.
And based on our research, it has blue-sky potential of 100x over the next five years â assuming Isosceles passes Phase III clinical trials.
However, we believe a company will purchase Isosceles long before that.
Surprisingly, this deal remains open â even though we believe itâs one of the best private opportunities weâve even seen
And based on our research, it has blue-sky potential of 100x over the next five years â assuming Isosceles passes Phase III clinical trials.
However, we believe a company will purchase Isosceles long before that.
Surprisingly, this deal remains open â even though we believe itâs one of the best private opportunities weâve even seen
Given the strong management team⌠a clear path to revenue for IPI-301⌠and now a strategic partnership that will potentially get IPI-201 to market faster than anticipated, weâre recommending this deal once again.
We believe it has the best risk-reward profile of anything available currently in the private equity space.
If you missed our initial recommendation, we encourage you to revisit our analysis and views on the upside potential of Isosceles.
The recent lawsuits against pharmacy giants show just how relevant Isoscelesâ technology is right now⌠Plus, weâre more excited than ever now that itâs signed this letter of intent with a strategic partner.
Soon, we believe the market will wake up to this opportunity and the deal will fill quickly once it does.
We believe it has the best risk-reward profile of anything available currently in the private equity space.
If you missed our initial recommendation, we encourage you to revisit our analysis and views on the upside potential of Isosceles.
The recent lawsuits against pharmacy giants show just how relevant Isoscelesâ technology is right now⌠Plus, weâre more excited than ever now that itâs signed this letter of intent with a strategic partner.
Soon, we believe the market will wake up to this opportunity and the deal will fill quickly once it does.
Bugsy
09.11.2022 20:25
9.11.2022
Why Everybody Started Pulling Their Money off FTX
FTX is one of the largest crypto exchanges in the world. Itâs in the top five in volume of crypto exchanges. Youâve probably seen its name all over the place. Itâs been sponsoring a bunch of sponsorships. Itâs been doing a bunch of high-profile lobbying on behalf of the crypto industry.
Anyway, long story short, FTX is owned by Sam Bankman-Fried. Heâs the majority owner, and he also owns a quantitative trading firm called Alameda. Alameda supposedly has about $15 billion in assets on its books. Anyway, it came out a little bit ago that its asset book was leaked, and it came out that many of its assets were backed by FTXâs own token.
So why is that a problem? Well, when youâre backing 30%, 40% of your asset book with tokens that you essentially printed out of nowhere, it makes the rest of your counterparties a little bit concerned about the value of your collateral. On top of that it came out that Alameda had been taking out lines of credit and leveraging against these assets
FTX is one of the largest crypto exchanges in the world. Itâs in the top five in volume of crypto exchanges. Youâve probably seen its name all over the place. Itâs been sponsoring a bunch of sponsorships. Itâs been doing a bunch of high-profile lobbying on behalf of the crypto industry.
Anyway, long story short, FTX is owned by Sam Bankman-Fried. Heâs the majority owner, and he also owns a quantitative trading firm called Alameda. Alameda supposedly has about $15 billion in assets on its books. Anyway, it came out a little bit ago that its asset book was leaked, and it came out that many of its assets were backed by FTXâs own token.
So why is that a problem? Well, when youâre backing 30%, 40% of your asset book with tokens that you essentially printed out of nowhere, it makes the rest of your counterparties a little bit concerned about the value of your collateral. On top of that it came out that Alameda had been taking out lines of credit and leveraging against these assets
So what that did was it really opened up FTX and Alameda to attack. Once the rest of the industry saw just how dependent Alameda and FTX was on the value of the FTT token, which is the token thatâs issued by the FTX Exchange, all bets were off.
In fact, Changpeng Zhao, who runs Binance, which is the biggest offshore crypto exchange in the world, came out and said, âLook, weâre going to dump half a billion dollars of your tokens.â He compared FTX and the FTT token to LUNA, which collapsed and basically went into a death spiral. And then everybody started pulling their money off FTX.
Now, FTX isnât a bank⌠Itâs a brokerage firm. In a traditional brokerage firm, if everybody were to try to pull their money off their brokerage account, theoretically they should be able to do so. Obviously, brokers lend out your stock, and they have stock loan departments, but they also have the ability to call those stocks in at any time that they want to. So every dollar in should be matched with a dollar out.
In fact, Changpeng Zhao, who runs Binance, which is the biggest offshore crypto exchange in the world, came out and said, âLook, weâre going to dump half a billion dollars of your tokens.â He compared FTX and the FTT token to LUNA, which collapsed and basically went into a death spiral. And then everybody started pulling their money off FTX.
Now, FTX isnât a bank⌠Itâs a brokerage firm. In a traditional brokerage firm, if everybody were to try to pull their money off their brokerage account, theoretically they should be able to do so. Obviously, brokers lend out your stock, and they have stock loan departments, but they also have the ability to call those stocks in at any time that they want to. So every dollar in should be matched with a dollar out.
The only time thatâs not true is in banking because banking uses fractional reserves. So theyâre never in a position where if everybody comes and asks for their money, they can give you your money. But brokerage firms are different. Brokerage firms are supposed to have the capital segregated. Theyâre not supposed to (except in certain instances) hypothecate that capital .
Even FTX said that it doesnât hypothecate the capital, that it doesnât trade with customersâ capital. Well, thatâs clearly not true because it received something like 6 billion requests to pull money off the exchange⌠And if it truly had segregated accounts, if it truly wasnât trading on those assets or hypothecating those assets, which means to borrow against your customersâ assets⌠Well, it should have been no problem to give everybody their money back.
Sure, it wouldâve hurt FTX from a liquidity standpoint. But it should have had ample liquidity to do that. The fact it didnât suggests that FTX was engaging in⌠Look, I donât want to get sued, but letâs call it behavior that wasnât in the best interest of its underlying clients.
So whatâs the fallout of this? Well, the fallout of this is Sam Bankman-Fried has had to sell FTX, his crown jewel responsible for 95% of the revenue of his business, to Changpeng Zhao, who runs Binance.
Even FTX said that it doesnât hypothecate the capital, that it doesnât trade with customersâ capital. Well, thatâs clearly not true because it received something like 6 billion requests to pull money off the exchange⌠And if it truly had segregated accounts, if it truly wasnât trading on those assets or hypothecating those assets, which means to borrow against your customersâ assets⌠Well, it should have been no problem to give everybody their money back.
Sure, it wouldâve hurt FTX from a liquidity standpoint. But it should have had ample liquidity to do that. The fact it didnât suggests that FTX was engaging in⌠Look, I donât want to get sued, but letâs call it behavior that wasnât in the best interest of its underlying clients.
So whatâs the fallout of this? Well, the fallout of this is Sam Bankman-Fried has had to sell FTX, his crown jewel responsible for 95% of the revenue of his business, to Changpeng Zhao, who runs Binance.
Now, Zhaoâs firm, Binance, came out and said that it signed a nonbinding LOI, which basically means nothing. It means, âWeâre going to take a look at this deal. If we like it, weâll buy it. If we donât like it, weâre going to pull out.â
So again, the problem here, and the problems that weâve seen over the last year in crypto, havenât been crypto problems. Theyâve been centralized finance, greed-based lying problems, very human problems that we have in the traditional financial industry.
And the beauty of crypto is that thereâs no one there to rescue you. Thereâs no Federal Reserve. Thereâs no SEC to come in and adjudicate. Thereâs nothing like that. If you donât run a good business, crypto will destroy you. If youâre stupid enough to use massive leverage on assets that can drop 80% overnight, which is what happened to the FTT token, then youâre a dumbass, and you deserve to lose everything.
So again, the problem here, and the problems that weâve seen over the last year in crypto, havenât been crypto problems. Theyâve been centralized finance, greed-based lying problems, very human problems that we have in the traditional financial industry.
And the beauty of crypto is that thereâs no one there to rescue you. Thereâs no Federal Reserve. Thereâs no SEC to come in and adjudicate. Thereâs nothing like that. If you donât run a good business, crypto will destroy you. If youâre stupid enough to use massive leverage on assets that can drop 80% overnight, which is what happened to the FTT token, then youâre a dumbass, and you deserve to lose everything.
Thatâs the unforgiving nature of crypto that people will try to vilify crypto for. And thatâs a mistake. Itâs the beauty of crypto. Itâs unparalleled capitalism. Itâs the type of capitalism that America was built on, the type of capitalism where you canât run to your mama to go bail you out if youâve been an idiot.
And Sam Bankman-Fried was an idiot. You canât build a trading firm on a token that you issue that has no direct value and isnât backed by anything. We all found that out with LUNA. So for Sam Bankman-Fried to do that and then stand there trying to bail everybody else out and spending all this money, putting the FTX name on it seems like every stadium on the planet, itâs a hundred layers of dumb. I mean, youâve got to be really, really smart to be that stupid.
And Sam Bankman-Fried was an idiot. You canât build a trading firm on a token that you issue that has no direct value and isnât backed by anything. We all found that out with LUNA. So for Sam Bankman-Fried to do that and then stand there trying to bail everybody else out and spending all this money, putting the FTX name on it seems like every stadium on the planet, itâs a hundred layers of dumb. I mean, youâve got to be really, really smart to be that stupid.
đ
Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Going Lower
So whatâs going to be the fallout of this? Everythingâs going down. Alameda Capital was⌠We donât know how leveraged it was. FTX, we have no idea how leveraged it was. It probably borrowed tons of money from a bunch of different players. Those playersâ books are a black book. We donât know who owes who what.
Itâs very similar to what we saw back in 2008 and 2009 with these credit default swaps where nobody really knew who had liability because it was all so opaque, which is the exact opposite of what crypto was built on. So over the next few days, weeks, and months, youâre going to see a lot of firms just blow up. Youâre going to see a lot of people having to unwind positions and be forced to sell.
Yesterday we saw bitcoin make a new low, go down to $17,300, and pump back up to $20,000. Then $19,000⌠$18,000⌠Overnight, it went back down to $17,000 before trading at $18,000 again.
And now Iâll tell you unequivocally weâre going lower. Bitcoinâs going lower. Ethereumâs going lower. Why? For the same reason that we saw earlier in the year: Weâre going to see forced selling. If youâre using leverage, youâre out of your mind. Just donât leverage these assets.
So whatâs going to be the fallout of this? Everythingâs going down. Alameda Capital was⌠We donât know how leveraged it was. FTX, we have no idea how leveraged it was. It probably borrowed tons of money from a bunch of different players. Those playersâ books are a black book. We donât know who owes who what.
Itâs very similar to what we saw back in 2008 and 2009 with these credit default swaps where nobody really knew who had liability because it was all so opaque, which is the exact opposite of what crypto was built on. So over the next few days, weeks, and months, youâre going to see a lot of firms just blow up. Youâre going to see a lot of people having to unwind positions and be forced to sell.
Yesterday we saw bitcoin make a new low, go down to $17,300, and pump back up to $20,000. Then $19,000⌠$18,000⌠Overnight, it went back down to $17,000 before trading at $18,000 again.
And now Iâll tell you unequivocally weâre going lower. Bitcoinâs going lower. Ethereumâs going lower. Why? For the same reason that we saw earlier in the year: Weâre going to see forced selling. If youâre using leverage, youâre out of your mind. Just donât leverage these assets.
Again and again, as Iâve said from the very beginning, we donât need to use leverage. We donât even need to use massive position sizing. Weâre so early in the adoption of this asset class, in the development of this asset class, itâs just not necessary. Over time, this asset class will be worth $10 trillion, $20 trillion, $30 trillion⌠I mean, multiple tens of trillions of dollars. And all thatâs required is a bit of common sense and small, uniform position sizes over a well-chosen array of investments.
Yes, some of them will go to zero. Yes, some of them will go down 90% before going up 50,000%. Itâs the nature of this asset class, and if you can be rational and not too greedy, itâll change your life.
Right now, what weâre dealing with are the after-effects of massive greed. So weâre going to see a lot of negative articles in the news. Weâre going to see the regulators start getting crazy. Iâll tell you this right now, for centralized players in crypto, we should have regulation â period. Iâll tell you that right now. If youâre going to be custodying my money, client funds, you better be regulated. So that thatâs going to change.
Yes, some of them will go to zero. Yes, some of them will go down 90% before going up 50,000%. Itâs the nature of this asset class, and if you can be rational and not too greedy, itâll change your life.
Right now, what weâre dealing with are the after-effects of massive greed. So weâre going to see a lot of negative articles in the news. Weâre going to see the regulators start getting crazy. Iâll tell you this right now, for centralized players in crypto, we should have regulation â period. Iâll tell you that right now. If youâre going to be custodying my money, client funds, you better be regulated. So that thatâs going to change.
Now, if we look at the actual, true decentralized protocols, true decentralized finance⌠That area of the market, which is the market that I care about â true decentralization, not centralized financial players âthat marketâs thriving. That marketâs growing.
Yes, there have been problems there. But the way those protocols are designed, the problems donât get out of control. You canât borrow more than whatever the smart contract says. You can borrow, and the smart contract makes sure that everything is sufficiently collateralized. So you donât have these death spirals that end up with these huge debts and us, the customers, paying the price.
Yes, you have market risk in DeFi. Thatâs fine. Iâll deal with market risk. But centralized holders of my capital? I got into crypto to escape that risk. I lived through 2008, 2009 â many of us did â and we saw how these centralized players in Wall Street that had begged us for our trust, absolutely abused our trust. I donât want to rely on human trust anymore. To me, thatâs the reason why I have so much of my money in bitcoin, because I donât have to rely on trust.
Yes, there have been problems there. But the way those protocols are designed, the problems donât get out of control. You canât borrow more than whatever the smart contract says. You can borrow, and the smart contract makes sure that everything is sufficiently collateralized. So you donât have these death spirals that end up with these huge debts and us, the customers, paying the price.
Yes, you have market risk in DeFi. Thatâs fine. Iâll deal with market risk. But centralized holders of my capital? I got into crypto to escape that risk. I lived through 2008, 2009 â many of us did â and we saw how these centralized players in Wall Street that had begged us for our trust, absolutely abused our trust. I donât want to rely on human trust anymore. To me, thatâs the reason why I have so much of my money in bitcoin, because I donât have to rely on trust.
I rely on the algorithm, on the rules of the algorithm, which have continued to shepherd bitcoinâs holders to safety over the long term. Certainly over the shorter term and intermediate term, yes, weâve had many times when bitcoin dropped 70%, 80%, 90%. But bitcoin has always come back. And why? Because of the sanctity of that code. It doesnât matter how much power, wealth, or influence you have, you canât change the code of bitcoin. And thatâs inherently valuable to bitcoin.
So again, why is bitcoin down? Why is Ethereum down? Itâs because of all these leveraged borrowers. We donât know how much money they used to speculate on bitcoin, how much money they leveraged. We donât know how much money they borrowed against their Ethereum positions. We have no idea. Itâs a true black box in the DeFi protocols. We can see it because everything is on chain⌠But for these private trading firms and these centralized financial providers, we have no clue.
It has to change. And if it doesnât change, I wouldnât be surprised to see the U.S. regulators just say, âNo, you canât even touch the American market.â And I donât want to see that because it affects the growth of this asset class. So somewhere between âNo one is allowed to use any of these centralized foreign exchangesâ to âOK, there are absolutely no rules, and you can do whatever you wantâ⌠There has to be a middle ground. I think, ultimately, weâll find the middle ground.
So again, why is bitcoin down? Why is Ethereum down? Itâs because of all these leveraged borrowers. We donât know how much money they used to speculate on bitcoin, how much money they leveraged. We donât know how much money they borrowed against their Ethereum positions. We have no idea. Itâs a true black box in the DeFi protocols. We can see it because everything is on chain⌠But for these private trading firms and these centralized financial providers, we have no clue.
It has to change. And if it doesnât change, I wouldnât be surprised to see the U.S. regulators just say, âNo, you canât even touch the American market.â And I donât want to see that because it affects the growth of this asset class. So somewhere between âNo one is allowed to use any of these centralized foreign exchangesâ to âOK, there are absolutely no rules, and you can do whatever you wantâ⌠There has to be a middle ground. I think, ultimately, weâll find the middle ground.
But what Iâve learned from regulation is it looks like a pendulum. Itâll be swinging in one direction, then itâll swing back in the other and itâll finally find an equilibrium.
The closest parallel to whatâs going on right now that I can see to traditional finance is really the early years of the American stock market, which were just as degenerate as some of these players that weâre seeing now. There was no SEC until the â30s. There were no insider trading rules. There were no rules on capital, on having adequate capital or safeguarding customer assets. And you would see brokerage firms just rise up and go out of business⌠rise up and go out of business⌠rise up and go out of business.
In the early part of the 1900s that was true, and you would see crazy panics. You would see bank runs that were just brutal until proper rules were enacted that would safeguard customer funds. So if youâre going to take customersâ funds, there have to be rules because history has proven again and again that humans are just greedy, and humans are fundamentally flawed and make awful decisions and terrible mistakes.
Again, the whole point of decentralized finance, of crypto, is to remove trust from the equation, to provide a marketplace or provide an asset that I can trade, borrow against, do all these different things with but not have to rely on a centralized third party.
The closest parallel to whatâs going on right now that I can see to traditional finance is really the early years of the American stock market, which were just as degenerate as some of these players that weâre seeing now. There was no SEC until the â30s. There were no insider trading rules. There were no rules on capital, on having adequate capital or safeguarding customer assets. And you would see brokerage firms just rise up and go out of business⌠rise up and go out of business⌠rise up and go out of business.
In the early part of the 1900s that was true, and you would see crazy panics. You would see bank runs that were just brutal until proper rules were enacted that would safeguard customer funds. So if youâre going to take customersâ funds, there have to be rules because history has proven again and again that humans are just greedy, and humans are fundamentally flawed and make awful decisions and terrible mistakes.
Again, the whole point of decentralized finance, of crypto, is to remove trust from the equation, to provide a marketplace or provide an asset that I can trade, borrow against, do all these different things with but not have to rely on a centralized third party.
Now, I know that decentralized trading isnât really where it needs to be in terms of speed, cost, and ease of use versus using a centralized type of broker. And so weâre still going to have to use centralized brokers until the decentralized exchanges improve their technology and improve their user interfaces.
But as Iâve always said from the beginning, if itâs not your keys, itâs not your crypto. And I understand that not everybody can take custody of their own crypto. Iâm not ignorant to the fact that some people just shouldnât take custody of their own crypto because theyâre forgetful or they just have trouble navigating the wallets.
But if you can, I strongly urge you to take possession of your own crypto. And if you do that, you have to be very careful. You canât store your seed phrase or your access keys on your computer. If you write them down, youâve got to have several copies, because this is your money. If you lose your password or you lose your seed phrase, thatâs it. The moneyâs gone.
But as Iâve always said from the beginning, if itâs not your keys, itâs not your crypto. And I understand that not everybody can take custody of their own crypto. Iâm not ignorant to the fact that some people just shouldnât take custody of their own crypto because theyâre forgetful or they just have trouble navigating the wallets.
But if you can, I strongly urge you to take possession of your own crypto. And if you do that, you have to be very careful. You canât store your seed phrase or your access keys on your computer. If you write them down, youâve got to have several copies, because this is your money. If you lose your password or you lose your seed phrase, thatâs it. The moneyâs gone.
Itâs an incredible responsibility. But Iâm grateful that we have that responsibility because when I first started on Wall Street, we could take possession of our own stocks. We could take possession of our own bonds. We had things like bearer bonds that were ours, and we didnât have to show ID for our own capital.
Those days are long gone. That was more than 30 years ago. So crypto is the last place where you can actually own and custody your own assets. To me, thatâs incredibly valuable. So if youâre trading on centralized exchanges, just be aware of that. Do your trades and take your money out, because what weâve learned is that we canât trust these centralized exchanges, and certainly not the offshore exchanges.
Now, if you do have to keep your money on an exchange⌠You say, âLook, T, I lose my phone all the time, or I lose my wallet all the time, or Iâm just a forgetful personâ⌠Then in that instance, I think you have to stick to the American exchanges. You have look at Coinbase, you have look at Kraken. You have to look at Gemini.
(upraveno)
Those days are long gone. That was more than 30 years ago. So crypto is the last place where you can actually own and custody your own assets. To me, thatâs incredibly valuable. So if youâre trading on centralized exchanges, just be aware of that. Do your trades and take your money out, because what weâve learned is that we canât trust these centralized exchanges, and certainly not the offshore exchanges.
Now, if you do have to keep your money on an exchange⌠You say, âLook, T, I lose my phone all the time, or I lose my wallet all the time, or Iâm just a forgetful personâ⌠Then in that instance, I think you have to stick to the American exchanges. You have look at Coinbase, you have look at Kraken. You have to look at Gemini.
Now, they arenât immune to these problems, but theyâre based in the United States. They operate under U.S. rules. Many of them have insurance. If you look at something like Coinbase in terms of a good housekeeping seal of approval, if you will, the fact that BlackRock is going to work with it, the fact that so many large blue-chip companies and pension funds have trusted it to hold their crypto, thatâs a big deal. You canât ignore that. So I would say try and keep your trading on U.S. exchanges.
I understand a lot of the time we have to use Binance. Binance so far certainly has proven itself to be a credible player in the space. But even with Binance, youâve got no recourse. If it goes out of business, youâve got no recourse if it pulls up stakes. And Iâm not suggesting that it would in any way, shape, or form⌠But again, itâs incumbent on you to protect yourself, even if itâs simply running a trade on Binance and then transferring it to a U.S. entity⌠or for tokens that arenât traded here in the States, putting them on a wallet.
I understand a lot of the time we have to use Binance. Binance so far certainly has proven itself to be a credible player in the space. But even with Binance, youâve got no recourse. If it goes out of business, youâve got no recourse if it pulls up stakes. And Iâm not suggesting that it would in any way, shape, or form⌠But again, itâs incumbent on you to protect yourself, even if itâs simply running a trade on Binance and then transferring it to a U.S. entity⌠or for tokens that arenât traded here in the States, putting them on a wallet.
đ
Rest Assured That the Sun Will Shine Again
This is such an important time where weâre going to see more contagion unwind now within the space. How low do things like bitcoin and Ethereum go? Itâs really hard to predict. If the amount of hidden debt is big enough, you could see a $12,000 price on bitcoin. I need you to be emotionally prepared for that. Will that definitively happen? I donât know, but it certainly could. You could see Ethereum trade below $800. It could go to $600.
Again, it really depends on the amount of forced selling that there is in the market. And right now, thatâs just impossible for me to predict because we donât know the different layers of borrowing that have taken place among these private firms. We have no idea. When I say itâs a black box, itâs a black box.
So what do you do? I donât know that you need to do anything. This has to work its way out. Whether it takes a month, three months, or six months, these forced liquidations have to take place in terms of bitcoin. I still just buy bitcoin whenever itâs weak. So again, I have multiple points where I go in, I buy a certain amount of bitcoin every single week, and then I have a certain amount of money for opportunistic buys.
This is such an important time where weâre going to see more contagion unwind now within the space. How low do things like bitcoin and Ethereum go? Itâs really hard to predict. If the amount of hidden debt is big enough, you could see a $12,000 price on bitcoin. I need you to be emotionally prepared for that. Will that definitively happen? I donât know, but it certainly could. You could see Ethereum trade below $800. It could go to $600.
Again, it really depends on the amount of forced selling that there is in the market. And right now, thatâs just impossible for me to predict because we donât know the different layers of borrowing that have taken place among these private firms. We have no idea. When I say itâs a black box, itâs a black box.
So what do you do? I donât know that you need to do anything. This has to work its way out. Whether it takes a month, three months, or six months, these forced liquidations have to take place in terms of bitcoin. I still just buy bitcoin whenever itâs weak. So again, I have multiple points where I go in, I buy a certain amount of bitcoin every single week, and then I have a certain amount of money for opportunistic buys.
When bitcoin gets knocked down like we saw yesterday and like we saw today, right now Iâm going to wait because clearly there are going to be more forced sellers. And if there are going to be forced sellers, then thereâs no rush. Iâll just be patient. Let those forced sellers come in, and letâs see how much damage they do.
But a lot of people are going to confuse the ills and the stupid decisions of the centralized financial players with the validity of true decentralized protocols. And itâs important as investors in this space that we separate the two. Itâs very, very important that we separate the two because back in the early 1900s, stocks were considered out of control, crazy risky, and you were a degenerate gambler if you were in them.
But that industry was so new, at least in America. It had to mature before it became the massive capital creation pool that it is currently. And I see crypto going through a very accelerated version of what the American stock market went through between, letâs call it 1900 and 1933, 1934, right? Except this is, of course, happening much, much quicker.
But a lot of people are going to confuse the ills and the stupid decisions of the centralized financial players with the validity of true decentralized protocols. And itâs important as investors in this space that we separate the two. Itâs very, very important that we separate the two because back in the early 1900s, stocks were considered out of control, crazy risky, and you were a degenerate gambler if you were in them.
But that industry was so new, at least in America. It had to mature before it became the massive capital creation pool that it is currently. And I see crypto going through a very accelerated version of what the American stock market went through between, letâs call it 1900 and 1933, 1934, right? Except this is, of course, happening much, much quicker.
So long story short is just carry on with your lives. Thereâs nothing you and I can do to intervene in whatâs going on between these leveraged players. Our job is just to take advantage of it. Our job isnât to get caught up in it. Our job isnât to make long-term negative decisions about the value of these assets based on the actions of a bunch of greedy dumbasses. And I hate to be that crude, but thatâs what they are â just greedy dumbasses.
You look at FTX⌠It was in such a phenomenal position to just dominate this space. And I donât know if it was greed or hubris, but to go out there and borrow even more money and leverage against its positions, I mean, itâs dumb. How much money did Sam Bankman-Fried have to make? The guy was worth, at one point I think last year, $35 billion, $40 billion, $50 billion, some insane number. Earlier this week, he was worth over $15 billion. I donât think heâs even a billionaire now.
You look at FTX⌠It was in such a phenomenal position to just dominate this space. And I donât know if it was greed or hubris, but to go out there and borrow even more money and leverage against its positions, I mean, itâs dumb. How much money did Sam Bankman-Fried have to make? The guy was worth, at one point I think last year, $35 billion, $40 billion, $50 billion, some insane number. Earlier this week, he was worth over $15 billion. I donât think heâs even a billionaire now.
So greed affects everyone, but some people it affects even more. And especially the brightest people tend to be the greediest because they think theyâre smarter than everybody else. But nobody can outsmart leveraging against an asset that can drop 80% overnight. I mean, youâve got to be dumber than two rocks in a sock to leverage an asset to such a degree that you canât get out, like on an asset that can drop 80% overnight. I mean, itâs another level of stupid. Like I said, itâs the kind of stupid where youâve got to be really, really brilliant to be that dumb.
Anyway, Iâm sure weâre going to get a lot of questions, comments, concerns. Please send them in. Obviously, I canât give you personalized investment advice, but Iâm happy to answer whatever I can.
In the interim, whatâs our job to do? Absolutely nothing at all, right? If youâve got money earmarked for bitcoin weakness, well, go ahead, and you can use that. I think bitcoin prices are going to come in. I think Ethereum prices are going to come in. I personally would love to see Ethereum below $800. I would start buying quite a bit more. And if I do get the opportunity to buy bitcoin between $12,000 and $15,000, Iâm going to be all over it.
Anyway, Iâm sure weâre going to get a lot of questions, comments, concerns. Please send them in. Obviously, I canât give you personalized investment advice, but Iâm happy to answer whatever I can.
In the interim, whatâs our job to do? Absolutely nothing at all, right? If youâve got money earmarked for bitcoin weakness, well, go ahead, and you can use that. I think bitcoin prices are going to come in. I think Ethereum prices are going to come in. I personally would love to see Ethereum below $800. I would start buying quite a bit more. And if I do get the opportunity to buy bitcoin between $12,000 and $15,000, Iâm going to be all over it.
So again, be rational. Be rational. If youâve got extra capital, and it makes sense for you to put it to work in some of these names as they come in, go ahead and do so. If you donât, donât sweat it.
Yes, it would be awful to watch bitcoin drop to $12,000, if that happens. It would be awful to watch Ethereum drop below $800, if that happens. But weâve seen it before. We saw Ethereum go from $1,450 to $80 in the last crash. We saw bitcoin go from $20,000 to something like $2,900 in the last crash. And we survived it⌠And all we had to do was just wait.
So I know itâs easy to get completely consumed by this stuff. I would urge you not to. Thereâs nothing that you or I can do to change these short-term outcomes. So itâs incumbent on us to keep a level head. Just keep on with your life. Enjoy your life.
Yes, it would be awful to watch bitcoin drop to $12,000, if that happens. It would be awful to watch Ethereum drop below $800, if that happens. But weâve seen it before. We saw Ethereum go from $1,450 to $80 in the last crash. We saw bitcoin go from $20,000 to something like $2,900 in the last crash. And we survived it⌠And all we had to do was just wait.
So I know itâs easy to get completely consumed by this stuff. I would urge you not to. Thereâs nothing that you or I can do to change these short-term outcomes. So itâs incumbent on us to keep a level head. Just keep on with your life. Enjoy your life.
Crypto is going to do whatever it does. Itâs like a wild, bucking bronco. Thereâs nothing we can do while itâs bucking like crazy. And eventually itâll buck all the idiots out of this space. Itâll form a bottom, and itâll pave the way for the next bull market, which should occur sometime going into later next year as we start prepping for the next halving, which is going to be in 2024.
All right, friends, thatâs enough out of me. Again, I want you to just be calm. I know itâs not easy to be calm when we see our equity just getting hammered. But weâve been through this before. This wonât be the last time that we have to deal with these types of crisis events.
But so long as youâre rational through this, so long as youâve been rationally position sized, you can rest assured that the sun will shine again even though itâll feel like weâre going to be in darkness here for a long, hot minute. But the sun will shine again.
All right, friends, thatâs enough out of me. Again, I want you to just be calm. I know itâs not easy to be calm when we see our equity just getting hammered. But weâve been through this before. This wonât be the last time that we have to deal with these types of crisis events.
But so long as youâre rational through this, so long as youâve been rationally position sized, you can rest assured that the sun will shine again even though itâll feel like weâre going to be in darkness here for a long, hot minute. But the sun will shine again.
Bugsy
10.11.2022 08:21
Binance backs out of FTX rescue, leaving the crypto exchange on the brink of collapse
đŠ 1
đ 1
Bugsy
11.11.2022 14:25
Sam Bankman-Fried's cryptocurrency exchange FTX files for bankruptcy
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/11/sam-bankman-frieds-cryptocurrency-exchange-ftx-files-for-bankruptcy.html?source=iosappshare%7Ccom.hammerandchisel.discord.Share
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/11/sam-bankman-frieds-cryptocurrency-exchange-ftx-files-for-bankruptcy.html?source=iosappshare%7Ccom.hammerandchisel.discord.Share
Bugsy
11.11.2022 14:32
DalĹĄĂ na radÄ bude BlockFi ale to uĹž jsem sem dĂĄval 1.11.
Bugsy
11.11.2022 21:37
Today, weâre exiting our remaining position in Silvergate Capital (SI) for a 240% gain.
We entered the position in April 2020 to capitalize on the need for institutional banking for companies involved with crypto.
Since then, it has grown to become one of the largest institutional banks involved in the crypto space.
Silvergate has partnered with some of the biggest players in the space, including Kraken, Gemini, Crypto.com, Coinbase, and Circle.
But due to the recent collapse of FTX â which filed for bankruptcy Friday â and the contagion spreading in its wake, weâre exiting this position as a precaution.
While itâs unclear as to the significance this event will have on Silvergate Capital, weâre making this move to protect our capital.
If we combine our 240% gain from selling our remaining position today with the 1,389% gain we booked from selling 30% of the position back in February 2021, our combined return on the position is 584%.
Action to take: Sell the remaining position of Silvergate Capital (SI) for a 240% gain.
We entered the position in April 2020 to capitalize on the need for institutional banking for companies involved with crypto.
Since then, it has grown to become one of the largest institutional banks involved in the crypto space.
Silvergate has partnered with some of the biggest players in the space, including Kraken, Gemini, Crypto.com, Coinbase, and Circle.
But due to the recent collapse of FTX â which filed for bankruptcy Friday â and the contagion spreading in its wake, weâre exiting this position as a precaution.
While itâs unclear as to the significance this event will have on Silvergate Capital, weâre making this move to protect our capital.
If we combine our 240% gain from selling our remaining position today with the 1,389% gain we booked from selling 30% of the position back in February 2021, our combined return on the position is 584%.
Action to take: Sell the remaining position of Silvergate Capital (SI) for a 240% gain.
Bugsy
14.11.2022 08:45
Bankman vystudoval M.I.T. a seznĂĄmil se tam s Caroline Ellison, ze kterĂŠ udÄlal ĹĄĂŠfku firmy Alameda Research. Caroline je dcerou Glenna Ellisona, profesora ekonomie na M.I.T. a je to bĂ˝valĂ˝ nadĹĂzenĂ˝ Garryho Genslera, kterĂ˝ v minulosti pĹednĂĄĹĄel jako profesor na M.I.T. pod Ellisonem, ale v souÄasnĂŠ dobÄ je ĹĄĂŠfem federĂĄlnĂ Komise pro cennĂŠ papĂry.
(upraveno)
đ¤ 6
Willy
14.11.2022 18:10
Toho si vĹĄimli aĹž teÄ ? đ¤ nebo jen lidi vidĂ spojitosti tam kde je chtÄjĂ vidÄt ?
Bugsy
14.11.2022 18:25
âŠ
@Willy
Toho si vĹĄimli aĹž teÄ ? đ¤ nebo jen lidi vidĂ spojitosti tam kde je chtÄjĂ vidÄt ?
Je to jak se vĹĄĂm, 50% pravda 50% spekulace
đŻ 2
Bugsy
16.11.2022 15:29
dalĹĄĂ na ĹadÄ mĹŻĹže bĂ˝t USDT,
But today, I canât help but wonder who, or what, will fall next. And I just canât help but wonder about Tether (USDT), the largest U.S. dollar stablecoin in the industry.
Bugsy
18.11.2022 07:23
17.11.
Today, we have an important alert on Gemini, one of our recommended crypto trading exchanges.
On Wednesday, the crypto lending platform Genesis announced it has suspended redemptions at its lending facility.
Itâs one of the largest institutional crypto lenders, with $2.8 billion in total active loans as of the end of the third quarter.
Shortly after the announcement, Gemini Earn, the lending arm of the Gemini exchange, suspended its withdrawals. Thatâs because Genesis is the lending partner for Gemini Earn.
Itâs important to note that if you hold your assets on the Gemini exchange, you still have access to your funds. Only those who held their assets on Gemini Earn are affected by the suspension.
That being said, weâre concerned about the risk surrounding the Gemini exchange in the wake of this announcement. And we recommend removing your assets from the Gemini exchange as soon as possible.
There are reports that Genesis is seeking to raise $1 billion. And considering the market environment surrounding crypto, weâre concerned that might not happen.
If Genesis canât raise the funds it seeks, Gemini Earn could be the next lending platform to file for bankruptcy.
Itâs possible there isnât a clear separation between Gemini Earn and the Gemini exchange. If thatâs the case, we could see assets from the exchange tied up in this mess.
(upraveno)
On Wednesday, the crypto lending platform Genesis announced it has suspended redemptions at its lending facility.
Itâs one of the largest institutional crypto lenders, with $2.8 billion in total active loans as of the end of the third quarter.
Shortly after the announcement, Gemini Earn, the lending arm of the Gemini exchange, suspended its withdrawals. Thatâs because Genesis is the lending partner for Gemini Earn.
Itâs important to note that if you hold your assets on the Gemini exchange, you still have access to your funds. Only those who held their assets on Gemini Earn are affected by the suspension.
That being said, weâre concerned about the risk surrounding the Gemini exchange in the wake of this announcement. And we recommend removing your assets from the Gemini exchange as soon as possible.
There are reports that Genesis is seeking to raise $1 billion. And considering the market environment surrounding crypto, weâre concerned that might not happen.
If Genesis canât raise the funds it seeks, Gemini Earn could be the next lending platform to file for bankruptcy.
Itâs possible there isnât a clear separation between Gemini Earn and the Gemini exchange. If thatâs the case, we could see assets from the exchange tied up in this mess.
For these reasons, we recommend you remove your assets from the Gemini exchange and take self-custody of them.
You can find more information on our recommended wallets for storing your crypto assets in our Crypto Corner.
If you feel taking self-custody of your assets isn't right for you, we recommend transferring them to either Coinbase or Kraken. Both are U.S.-based companies.
Coinbase is a highly regulated exchange thatâs audited by Deloitte & Touche, one of the Big Four accounting firms.
And Kraken uses proof-of-reserves, which is an independent audit that ensures it holds the assets it claims to on your behalf.
Thereâs a high level of uncertainty in the market right now, and we encourage you to remove any counterparty risk if possible. The best way to do that is to self-custody your tokens when possible.
Action to take: Remove any tokens you hold on Gemini. Store them in your own wallet, or on Coinbase or Kraken.
You can find more information on our recommended wallets for storing your crypto assets in our Crypto Corner.
If you feel taking self-custody of your assets isn't right for you, we recommend transferring them to either Coinbase or Kraken. Both are U.S.-based companies.
Coinbase is a highly regulated exchange thatâs audited by Deloitte & Touche, one of the Big Four accounting firms.
And Kraken uses proof-of-reserves, which is an independent audit that ensures it holds the assets it claims to on your behalf.
Thereâs a high level of uncertainty in the market right now, and we encourage you to remove any counterparty risk if possible. The best way to do that is to self-custody your tokens when possible.
Action to take: Remove any tokens you hold on Gemini. Store them in your own wallet, or on Coinbase or Kraken.
Bugsy
20.11.2022 18:11
FTX Was a Case of Downright Fraud
So, first, let's recap what happened. This all started on November 2. That's when a CoinDesk report came out about Alameda Research's balance sheet.
Now, Alameda Research was the trading firm associated with FTX, and the report showed that it had a large percentage of its assets in illiquid assets, with a lot of it in FTT, its own token.
Shortly after that, there was a tweet from Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, also known as CZ, that the company was going to liquidate its FTT position. And it was a sizable position, $2.1 billion. So, of course, that ratcheted up the uncertainty.
The FTT token price started falling. Alameda offered to buy FTX â that never materialized. The day after, FTX had to pause withdrawals. Binance gave its intention to potentially buy the company, but that fell through. And by November 11, FTX declared bankruptcy.
So in a matter of nine days, the entire thing collapsed. And it's just left the industry in shock. Part of that is because of the person involved, Sam Bankman-Fried, who's been a very prominent figure in crypto. He's been up on the hill in Washington, D.C., in front of Congress, and things like that.
So, first, let's recap what happened. This all started on November 2. That's when a CoinDesk report came out about Alameda Research's balance sheet.
Now, Alameda Research was the trading firm associated with FTX, and the report showed that it had a large percentage of its assets in illiquid assets, with a lot of it in FTT, its own token.
Shortly after that, there was a tweet from Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao, also known as CZ, that the company was going to liquidate its FTT position. And it was a sizable position, $2.1 billion. So, of course, that ratcheted up the uncertainty.
The FTT token price started falling. Alameda offered to buy FTX â that never materialized. The day after, FTX had to pause withdrawals. Binance gave its intention to potentially buy the company, but that fell through. And by November 11, FTX declared bankruptcy.
So in a matter of nine days, the entire thing collapsed. And it's just left the industry in shock. Part of that is because of the person involved, Sam Bankman-Fried, who's been a very prominent figure in crypto. He's been up on the hill in Washington, D.C., in front of Congress, and things like that.
For what was considered a venerable firm to collapse in nine days has just left everyone in shock. So the question is, how did this happen?
One thing I want you to know is this was more than just poor risk management. It was more than just being overleveraged. This was a case of downright fraud.
Since the bankruptcy, a new CEO has come in. The guy's name is John Ray, and he has 40 years of restructuring experience. He worked on Enron and a number of other situations like that. And what he said is he's never seen âsuch a complete failure of corporate controlsâ like he's seen with FTX.
So that just shows you the severity of the situation. It's come to light FTX had no central cash management system. It had no audited financial statements for Alameda. Sam Bankman-Fried had a secret back door to move funds between FTX and Alameda. And the majority of employees were in the dark. No one even knew about this.
One thing I want you to know is this was more than just poor risk management. It was more than just being overleveraged. This was a case of downright fraud.
Since the bankruptcy, a new CEO has come in. The guy's name is John Ray, and he has 40 years of restructuring experience. He worked on Enron and a number of other situations like that. And what he said is he's never seen âsuch a complete failure of corporate controlsâ like he's seen with FTX.
So that just shows you the severity of the situation. It's come to light FTX had no central cash management system. It had no audited financial statements for Alameda. Sam Bankman-Fried had a secret back door to move funds between FTX and Alameda. And the majority of employees were in the dark. No one even knew about this.
And this has happened despite numerous investments into FTX. For example, the Ontario Teachersâ Pension Plan made⌠I think it was a $90 million investment into FTX. And anytime it does that, it brings in its own due-diligence people to examine the company, pour through financials, talk to people, things like that. And despite those efforts, it was caught up in the storm as well.
That's what happens in fraud. People are just downright lying. It's hard to know what the real situation is.
So, as I mentioned before, some of the severity of this is just due to the fact that it involves Sam- Bankman-Fried. This guy was Cointelegraphâs No. 1 most influential person in crypto in 2021. He had built FTX into a $32 billion empire at the beginning of the year. Alameda was also a $1 billion or $2 billion company that was doing $5 billion in volume a day or more.
That's what happens in fraud. People are just downright lying. It's hard to know what the real situation is.
So, as I mentioned before, some of the severity of this is just due to the fact that it involves Sam- Bankman-Fried. This guy was Cointelegraphâs No. 1 most influential person in crypto in 2021. He had built FTX into a $32 billion empire at the beginning of the year. Alameda was also a $1 billion or $2 billion company that was doing $5 billion in volume a day or more.
Bankman-Friedâs own fortune ballooned to $26 billion. And part of his popularity was his efforts toward achieving regulatory compliance. He took part in congressional hearings. He called on crypto exchanges to voluntarily report their transaction activity to avoid market manipulation. He was also the second-biggest donor in the midterm elections, donating close to $40 million, second only to George Soros.
So when you compare that to the fraud we're seeing today, it's just a shock. It's just a huge difference, a juxtaposition on what you expected Sam Bankman-Fried to be, and what heâs turned out to be. And that's a large reason why this is such a big event today.
So when you compare that to the fraud we're seeing today, it's just a shock. It's just a huge difference, a juxtaposition on what you expected Sam Bankman-Fried to be, and what heâs turned out to be. And that's a large reason why this is such a big event today.